The Dry Weather Pattern Continues (Tu/04Jan2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 04 January 2022
       
Not Available Today…
   
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The axis of the chilly surface high pressure, in the wake of the weekend cold front, has now moved east of the area. This has resulted in surface winds becoming south southeasterly. This southerly surface wind will allow for temperatures to rise back closer and even above seasonal averages into mid week.

(2) Another series of dry cold fronts will move through the area tomorrow night into early Thursday which will drop temperatures back below seasonal averages as we wrap up the week. Limited low level moisture return and limited atmospheric instability means little cloudiness and no precipitation as the front passes. By the weekend, as the high pressure behind the front moves east, southerly surface winds return and we’ll see a warming trend.

(3) Yet another surface cold front (yes, you guessed it, dry) will pass through the area by Sunday with temperatures cooling again Sunday night into Monday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting no rainfall for our IH35 corridor over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Very High Confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 04 January 2022

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 66. Light wind becoming south southwesterly 8 to 15 mph with some higher afternoon gusts.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 44. Light south southwesterly wind.   

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 72. Light wind becoming west southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 39. Light west southwesterly wind becoming northerly after midnight as a cold front passes.

THURSDAY….  Sunshine. Breezy and much cooler. High 56. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 30. Northerly wind decreasing to 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 58. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more east southeasterly by late afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 46. Light south southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy and warmer. High 72. South southwesterly wind increasing to 8 to15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 54. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy as a cold front passes by midday. High 70. South southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph with some .

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 42. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 57. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Tuesday / 11 January 2022 through Monday / 17 January 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (04 January)……………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (04 January)……………………………………… 5:44 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (05 January)………………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (05 January)…………………………………………. 5:45 pm

A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Over the Next Seven Days (Mo/03Jan2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 03 January 2022
       
Not Available Today…
   
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The axis of the chilly surface high pressure, in the wake of Saturday night’s arctic cold front, is moving east of the area as we get our new week underway. This is resulting in a light and variable wind this morning expected to become south southeasterly by afternoon. This southerly surface wind will allow for temperatures to rise back closer and even above seasonal averages by mid week.

(2) Another series of dry cold fronts will move through the area late Wednesday into early Thursday which will drop temperatures back below seasonal averages as we wrap up the week. Limited low level moisture return and limited atmospheric instability means little cloudiness and no precipitation as the front passes. By the weekend, as southerly surface winds return, we’ll see a warming trend.

(3) Yet another surface cold front (yes, you guessed it, dry) will pass through the area by Sunday morning with temperatures cooling again Sunday night into Monday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting no rainfall for our IH35 corridor over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 03 January 2022

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 56. Calm wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 31. Light south southeasterly wind becoming calm.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 66. Light wind becoming southerly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 44. Light southerly wind.   

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 70. Light wind becoming west southwesterly 4 to 8 mph before shifting northerly in the mid afternoon as a cold front passes.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 39. Northerly 4 to 8 mph becoming light northerly.

THURSDAY….  Sunshine. High 60. Light northerly wind increasing to 15 to 25 mph with some higher gusts in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 30. Northerly wind decreasing to 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 56. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more east southeasterly by late afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 43. Light south southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy and warmer. High 70. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 54. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy as a cold front passes by midday. High 70. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting northerly.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 10 January 2022 through Sunday / 16 January 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (03 January)……………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (03 January)……………………………………… 5:43 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (04 January)………………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (04 January)…………………………………………. 5:44 pm