Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Clouds Roll Back in Along with Warmer Temperatures.. Another Cold Front Due Early Saturday.. Better Rain Chances Return Next Week (Th/01Dec2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 01 December 2022

Will Not Be Updated Today…

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) High pressure is moving east of our area allowing a southerly surface wind to return later today into tonight with increasing cloud cover.

(2) Warmer temperatures will return tomorrow into our upcoming weekend as clouds decrease a bit.

(3) Another cold front will be moving into Texas by Saturday and moving south of the Austin area by late Saturday into Saturday night with cooler temperatures returning.

(4) With clouds moving back in, that cold front will return back north northeastward by early Sunday as south southeasterly surface winds return area wide. These warmer temperatures and clouds will continue through Tuesday.

(5) Another cold front will move southeastward through the area by Tuesday night. Guidance would suggest the clouds will continue with some suggestion of a better rain chances by Wednesday into Thursday as an overrunning pattern potentially becomes better established locally.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, less than 0.25 inch over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through early next week with a low to medium forecast confidence for Tuesday night and beyond.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 01 December 2022

TODAY…. Mostly sunny through the morning then thickening clouds. High 58. Light northeasterly wind becoming more east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with a few sprinkles and patchy fog developing after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 54. Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm.

FRIDAY…. Patchy fog and a few sprinkles before 10am. Becoming mostly sunny and much warmer by afternoon. Morning rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 74. Calm wind becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 61. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more westerly after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy and cooler as a cold front moves overhead early. High 63. Light westerly shifting north northeasterly 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 54. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy. High 70. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeasterly in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy. High 77. South southwesterly winds increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 65. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 68. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers as a cold front passes. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. Low 58. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy and note quite as warm with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20″ inch. High 69. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 08 December through Wednesday / 14 December 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01Dec)………………………………………… 7:10 am
Sunset this evening (01Dec)………………………………………….. 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02Dec)…………………………………………….. 7:11 am
Sunset tomorrow (02Dec)……………………………………………… 5:30 pm

Much Cooler with Plenty of Sunshine Next Day or So.. but Clouds Roll Back in Late Week Through the Weekend into Early Next Week (We/30Nov2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 30 November 2022

Will Not Be Updated Today…

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A strong cold front moved south southeastward through the area overnight.
Much cooler surface high pressure will settle into Texas today through Thursday before the high pressure area moves eastward and a southerly surface wind returns late Thursday into Thursday night.

(2) Clouds and warmer temperatures will return Friday into our upcoming weekend with a few sprinkles possible. Another cold front will be moving into Texas by Saturday and moving to near to just south of the Austin area by late Saturday into Saturday night as clouds persist.

(3) With the clouds holding in, the front will return back north northeastward by early Sunday as south southeasterly surface winds return area wide. Another cold front will move southeastward through the area early Tuesday with another reinforcing cold front by Tuesday night. Guidance would suggest the clouds will continue with some suggestion of a better rain chances by Tuesday into Tuesday night as a chilly, overrunning pattern becomes established locally.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, 0.05″ inch or less over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through Thursday with a medium to high confidence forecast Friday into early next week.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 30 November 2022

TODAY…. Sunshine, breezy and much cooler. High 57. Northerly winds 8 to 18 mph with a few higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 37. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts early with winds decreasing late.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 58. Light east northeasterly wind becoming more east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with thickening low clouds late with a few sprinkles developing. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 54. Light easterly wind becoming calm.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy and warmer. A few sprinkles before 9am. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 73. Calm wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles developing after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy and a little cooler as a cold front moves overhead by early afternoon. A few sprinkles. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 68. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph shifting north northeasterly 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered patches of light rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. Low 54. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered patches of light rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. High 70. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeasterly in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy. High 78. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 65. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers as a cold front passes in the morning. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. High 68. South southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 07 December through Tuesday / 13 December 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (30Nov)………………………………………… 7:09 am
Sunset this evening (30Nov)………………………………………….. 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01Dec)…………………………………………….. 7:10 am
Sunset tomorrow (01Dec)……………………………………………… 5:30 pm