Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 27 March 2023
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… An Isolated Thunderstorm with an Associated Lightning Threat after 10pm Tonight …
AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) A rather complex weather pattern is expected over the coming days with us starting out with a warm front lifting northward out of south Texas today into tonight. By tonight, a passing upper air low pressure disturbance will move eastward overhead with a reinforcing cold front surging southward through the area. The question today is how far northward the warm front will progress before tonight’s cold front moves through. My thoughts – at the moment and subject to real time changes – suggest it will make it just about the Austin area before the cold front moves southeastward through the area. As a result, a few light sprinkles are possible beginning this evening with a few rain showers and an isolated thunderstorm after 10pm until a little after midnight.
(2) Tomorrow through Wednesday will see some lingering cloudiness along with cooler temperatures.
(3) Clouds thicken again beginning Wednesday night into Thursday as yet another upper level low pressure storm system and associated cold front approaches and then moves through Texas Friday into early Saturday. While scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are possible, it appears that the best dynamics and associated atmospheric lift will remain to our north and northeast. The cold front looks to cross the IH35 corridor by late Friday afternoon into early Friday night with temperatures falling a few degrees Friday night into Saturday before the front returns northward out of south Texas by Sunday into Monday.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast today through tonight.
A very high confidence forecast tomorrow through Wednesday night.
A medium to high forecast confidence is in place Thursday through the remainder of the seven day forecast period.
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 27 March 2023
TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 79. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more east northeasterly by late afternoon.
TONIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with a few light sprinkles developing after 8pm. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, developing after 10pm as a cold front moves through 12 midnight to 2am. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a less than 20%chance of very light rain 8 to 10pm and then a 20% chance of rain after 10pm, will average less than 0.20″. Low 57. East northeasterly wind becoming northerly and increasing to 8 to 15 mph after midnight.
TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and a bit cooler. High 70. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 54. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 71. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more east southeasterly by late afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 61. South southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.
THURSDAY…. Cloudy. Becoming breezy and more humid. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, by afternoon. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 80. South southeasterly wind increasing to 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy and breezy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY…. Cloudy and breezy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat as a cold front moves through the area by late afternoon. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. High 85. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts shifting north northwesterly by late afternoon.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and a little cooler with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, before midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 61. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY…. Becoming partly cloudy. High 81. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph early becoming light and variable by afternoon.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 59. Light wind.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 84. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 03 April 2023 through Sunday / 09 April 2023
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (27Mar)………………………………………… 7:26 am
Sunset this evening (27Mar)………………………………………….. 7:47 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (28Mar)…………………………………………….. 7:25 am
Sunset tomorrow (28Mar)……………………………………………… 7:48 pm