Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Rain Chances Increase Again Late Week into the Weekend as Unseasonably Cool Temperatures Continue (We/16Nov2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 16 November 2022

 

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) In the wake of the passing upper level low pressure area and cold front earlier in the week, skies have partially cleared as this latest surge of polar air comes southward through the plains states. Some clouds will linger with temperatures continuing well below seasonal averages.

(2) Another upper air low pressure disturbance and reinforcing cold front will move east to west through south Texas with possible rain chances late Friday into Saturday before skies partially clear late Saturday night into Sunday. Much below average temperatures will continue.

(3) Weak moisture return, over the top of cooler surface based air, will develop early into mid parts of next week with clouds thickening and rain chances returning to our forecast. Temperatures will warm a few degrees but still remain below seasonal averages.

(4) While just beyond our seven day forecast period, there are indications in longer range guidance that our Thanksgiving holiday may be cloudy with rain chances and temperatures continuing below seasonal averages.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, trace rainfall totals over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the next seven days.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 16 November 2022

TODAY…. Partly cloudy. High 56. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 40. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 58. Light wind.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 39. Light wind.

FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. High 57. Light wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain showers and sprinkles developing as a cold front passes. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 39. Easterly wind becoming north northeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy and colder with scattered rain showers and sprinkles. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 49. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. A few sprinkles early. Mostly cloudy early becoming partly cloudy late. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location before 7pm, will average trace amounts. Low 38. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. A few clouds in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. High 54. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming cloudy late. Low 41. Light northeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 54. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. Low 44. Light easterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 58. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 23 November through Tuesday / 29 November 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (16Nov)………………………………………… 6:58 am
Sunset this evening (16Nov)………………………………………….. 5:34 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (17Nov)…………………………………………….. 6:58 am
Sunset tomorrow (17Nov)……………………………………………… 5:33 pm