Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 18 November 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Another upper air low pressure disturbance and reinforcing cold front will move east to west through south Texas with rain chances increasing later tonight through tomorrow and tomorrow night before decreasing on Sunday. Much below average temperatures will continue.
(2) Weak moisture return, over the top of cooler surface based air, will develop again by late Sunday night through the first half of next week with rain chances increasing once again. Temperatures will warm a few degrees but still remain well below seasonal averages.
(3) Longer range guidance indicates that our Thanksgiving holiday may be cloudy with rain chances and temperatures a little warmer but still continuing below seasonal averages.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, rainfall totals of 1.00 to 1.50 inch over the next seven day forecast period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through next Tuesday with a much lower confidence for the latter part of next week.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 18 November 2022
TODAY…. Cloudy and a little cooler. High 54. Light wind becoming east northeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
TONIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous light rain showers and sprinkles developing as a cold front passes. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 40. Easterly wind becoming north northeasterly 5 to 10 mph late.
SATURDAY…. Cloudy and colder with rain and rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 80% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 to 0.75 inch. High 43. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Rain and rain showers before 8pm. Cloudy. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 70% chance of rain at any given location before 8pm, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 40. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool with a few patches of rain developing. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 48. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with rain and rain showers becoming likely. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.10 or less. Low 42. Light north northeasterly wind becoming calm late.
MONDAY…. Cloudy with rain and rain showers likely. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 or less. High 49. Calm wind becoming northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and sprinkles. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. Low 42. Light easterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy. High 58. Light wind becoming easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 46. Light easterly wind.
WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy and warmer with a few rain showers developing. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 62. Light wind becoming southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 51. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY /THANKSGIVING DAY)…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 65. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 25 November through Thursday / 01 December 2022
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (18Nov)………………………………………… 6:59 am
Sunset this evening (18Nov)………………………………………….. 5:33 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (19Nov)…………………………………………….. 7:00 am
Sunset tomorrow (19Nov)……………………………………………… 5:32 pm