Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Rain and Thunderstorm Chances Continue as the Unsettled Weather Pattern Persists; A More Stable Weather Pattern with Rebounding Temperatures by Late Sunday into Next Week (Th/25Jul2024)

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Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT
University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera at THIS LINK.

On weekends and other University holidays when this site is not updated,
I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast
for metro Austin at THIS LINK.

In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow the latest area
watch, advisory and warning updates from our local NWS Austin-San Antonio
office through their WEBSITE.. or by reading the actual text products (always
the most recent at the top of the page) through THIS LINK which is courtesy of
the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always check the date and time of issuance
of these NWS text products since, in periods of tranquil weather, the latest
products may be outdated and/or expired.

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms ..

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) With rich low level moisture in place, rain and thunderstorm chances will continue on and off through the week and into our upcoming weekend. As a result, we’ll increasingly see a faster response on creek and stream systems as well as in urban areas. As we move through the remainder of the week, it’s a good time to remember the NWS slogan “turn around, don’t drown” when encountering low water crossings and flood prone areas.

(2) A more stable weather pattern returns as high pressure aloft develops overhead by late Sunday into next week. As sunshine returns, temperatures will climb back to seasonal averages early next week.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, 0.50 inch of rainfall is expected for our IH35 corridor counties over the next seven day period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High confidence through the next seven days.

Troy’s Weather Forecast
for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 25 July 2024

TODAY (25Jul)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. High 86. Light east northeasterly wind.

TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 72. Light easterly wind.

FRIDAY (26Jul)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. High 87. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 7pm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 73. Light southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY (27Jul)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 87. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance at any given location, will average less than 0.15 inch. Low 73. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY (28Jul)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 89. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 7pm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance at any given location, will average less than 0.15 inch. Low 75. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY (29Jul)…. Partly cloudy. High 93. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY (30Jul)…. Mostly sunny. High 94. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY (31Jul)…. Mostly sunny. High 96. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 01 August 2024 through Wednesday / 07 August 2024
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Th/25Jul)…………………………………….. 6:45 am / 8:29 pm
Tomorrow (Fr/26Jul)……………………………….. 6:45 am / 8:29 pm

All Winter Weather Threats Have Ended (1125am CT, We/17Jan2024 Update)

ALL / Austin, Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update 14 – FINAL
Prepared by UT University/Incident Response Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
1125am CT – Wednsday / 17 January 2024


All NWS winter event warnings have expired as of 10am this morning.

This is my final statement on this event.

tk