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I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast
for metro Austin at THIS LINK.
Remember, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx .
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so it
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.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually)
of all NWS Austin-San Antonio watches, advisories and warnings.. Always check
the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products since, in periods of
tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
—-
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Sa/12Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Lightning Threat ..
Su/13Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Lightning Threat ..
Mo/14Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..
Tu/15Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..
We/16Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..
Th/17Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..
Fr/18 Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..
7-DAY TEXAS TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK…
There is no tropical threat to the Texas coast over the next few days.
Longer range Climate Prediction Center outlooks have indicated some potential for tropical low pressure development over the northern Gulf by the end of next week through Tuesday/22 July. I’ll continue to monitor but confidence in this outlook is low..
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) An area of more unstable air from the gulf will move ashore today before a disturbance moves into the area from the northwest tomorrow; both of these will result in renewed rain and storm chances. Brief heavy rainfall is possible with some areas of flooding possible in areas along and east of the IH35 corridor and in areas to our distant northwest.
(2) A more stable weather pattern returns with sunshine and seasonal temperatures for next week.
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, my forecast is for 0.50 inch or less of inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day forecast period which ends in the early evening hours next Saturday.
MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the next seven days.
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Weekend / 12-13 July 2025
SATURDAY (12Jul)….
Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch.
Highs in the low and middle 90s with afternoon heat index values of 99 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY (13Jul)….
Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch.
Highs in the low to middle 90s with afternoon heat index values of 99 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph with a few higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY (14Jul)….
Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s with afternoon heat index values of 100 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph with a few higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY (15Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the middle 90s with afternoon heat index values of 101 F.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Lows in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY (16Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 103 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Lows in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY (17Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 104 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Lows in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY (18Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 104 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Saturday / 19 July 2025 through Friday / 08 August 2025
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 11 July 2025)
Valid Saturday / 26 July 2025 through Friday / 01 August 2025
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Below Normal
tk