Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Stronger Cold Front Due by Early Afternoon.. Cooler Temps on the Way!! (Fr/15Oct2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 15 October 2021

  
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A stronger cold front will pass during the day today. Short range, high resolution guidance suggests some widely scattered rain showers ahead of the front by afternoon along and east of the IH35 corridor but, at this point, due to low confidence, I will not include precipitation in our forecast.

(2) Much cooler and drier air with abundant sunshine will prevail for later today through our upcoming weekend into early next week as surface high pressure.. very fall like in nature.. settles over Texas.

(3) As high pressure moves east of the area, another cold front will sweep southeastward through the area on Wednesday with little or no precipitation.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is predicting little if any precipitation.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Very high confidence through Thursday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 15 October 2021

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. Turning breezy, cooler and less humid as a stronger cold front passes early in the afternoon. High 84 before the cold front passes then falling back to near 80. Southwesterly winds shifting northwesterly 8 to 18 mph and gusty in the afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 54. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 74. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 49. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 76. Light east northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 49. Light wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 78. Light east southeasterly wind.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 53. Light wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 82. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 60. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. Breezy and a little cooler. High 78. Southerly wind shifting north northwesterly 8 to 18 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 64. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 81. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 22 October 2021 through Thursday / 28 October 2021…
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average  
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15 October)……………………………………….. 7:33 am
Sunset this evening (15 October)…………………………………………. 7:00 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (16 October)……………………………………………. 7:34 am
Sunset tomorrow (16 October)…………………………………………….. 6:59 pm

Rain Chances Decrease as Sunshine and Drier and Cooler Weather Moves In (Th/14Oct2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 14 October 2021

  
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Some Residual Flooding in Areas East Through South of Austin Today …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Most of the precipitation will be east of the area today as a more stable atmosphere returns to the area in the wake of a weak cold frontal passage by afternoon.

(2) A stronger cold front will pass during the day tomorrow but no precipitation is expected.

(3) Much cooler and drier air with abundant sunshine will prevail for late Friday through our upcoming weekend into early next week as surface high pressure.. very fall like in nature.. settles over Texas.

(4) As high pressure moves east of the area, another cold front will sweep southeastward through the area on Wednesday with little or no precipitation.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is predicting little if any precipitation.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Very high confidence through Wednesday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 14 October 2021

TODAY…. Decreasing clouds by afternoon becoming partly cloudy as a weak cold front passes. High 85. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more northwesterly in the afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 69. Light wind.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. Turning breezy, cooler and less humid as a stronger cold front passes in the afternoon. High 84 before the cold front passes then falling back to near 80. Southwesterly winds shifting northwesterly 8 to 18 mph and gusty in the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 54. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 74. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 49. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 76. Light east northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 50. Light wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 78. Light east southeasterly wind.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 53. Light wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 82. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 60. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. Breezy and a little cooler. High 78. Southerly wind shifting north northwesterly 8 to 18 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Thursday / 21 October 2021 through Wednesday / 27 October 2021…
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average  
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (14 October)……………………………………….. 7:33 am
Sunset this evening (14 October)…………………………………………. 7:01 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (15 October)……………………………………………. 7:34 am
Sunset tomorrow (15 October)…………………………………………….. 7:00 pm