Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Slim Afternoon Rain and Thunderstorm Chances Today and Tomorrow Followed by a More Stable Late Spring Weather Pattern Friday Through the Upcoming Weekend (Wed/07Jun2023)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 07 Jun 2023

…. Not Available Today ….

Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow
the latest area watch, advisory and warning updates from our
local NWS Austin-San Antonio office through their website…
www.weather.gov/ewx … or by reading the actual text products
(always the most recent at the top of the page) through this link
which is courtesy of the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always
check the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products
since, in periods of tranquil weather, these products may be
outdated and/or expired.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… A Lightning Threat With Any Thunderstorm This Afternoon …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Even with more in the way of sunshine today into tomorrow, I’m adding slim rain and thunderstorm chances this afternoon as well as tomorrow afternoon with an associated lightning threat as well as a gusty wind threat around any storms.

(2) Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, will continue to strengthen particularly Friday and through the weekend with increased sunshine. As that occurs, afternoon highs will rise to above seasonal averages with a few 100 degree temperatures Friday into the weekend especially west and southwest of Austin. In addition, afternoon heat stress index values will rise above 100 degrees. I don’t see any precipitation in our forecast, at this point, for Friday through the weekend.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch today and tomorrow with no rain expected for the IH35 corridor over the balance of the seven days forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast continues through the seven day forecast period.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 07 June 2023

TODAY (07Jun)…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Isolated afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. High 92. Light wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 70. Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm.

THURSDAY (08Jun)…. Mostly sunny. Isolated afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. High 94. Calm wind southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. Light south southwesterly wind.

FRIDAY (09Jun)…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Afternoon heat index around 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (10Jun)…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Afternoon heat index 102 to 103. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 18 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (11Jun)…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Afternoon heat index around 101. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY (12Jun)…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Afternoon heat index around 101. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT….

TUESDAY (13Jun)….

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 14 June 2023 through Tuesday / 20 June 2023
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (07Jun)…………………………………………. 6:29 am
Sunset this evening (07Jun)…………………………………………… 8:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (08Jun)……………………………………………… 6:29 am
Sunset tomorrow (08Jun)………………………………………………. 8:32 pm

Clouds Persist As We Start the New Week (Mo/05Dec2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 05 December 2022

Will Not Be Updated Today…

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) South southeasterly surface winds are returning area wide with low clouds, patchy morning fog and warmer temperatures across the area through tomorrow.

(3) Manual and computer forecast guidance would suggest that clouds will break a bit by Wednesday before picking back up again for the remainder of the week pretty much through our upcoming weekend. Some rain chances will return to the forecast as a weak cold front moves just south of the area late Thursday but returns back northward as a warm front Friday and Friday night.

(3) These rain chances will linger until another cold front, more Pacific in nature, will moves eastward through the area on Sunday with some breaks in the clouds by late Sunday into Sunday night and Monday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, less than 0.05 inch over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A medium to high confidence forecast through the new week, our upcoming weekend and into Monday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 05 December 2022

TODAY…. Patchy morning fog and very light drizzle. A cloudy sky. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20%chance of precipitation, will averaeg trace amounts. High 74. South southwesterly winds increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with patchy fog developing late. Low 65. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Patchy fog early. Mostly cloudy. High 76. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with patchy fog developing late. Low 67. Light southerly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Patchy fog early. Mostly cloudy in the morning and then partly cloudy and unseasonably warm in the afternoon. High 81. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy early becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Widely scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. High 78. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers as a cold front passes before midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. Low 60. Southerly wind shifting north northeasterly 4 to 8 mph late.

FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 68. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 57. Light northeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered patches of light rain developing. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. High 71. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more southeasterly by late afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered patches of light rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. Low 59. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy in the morning into midday with scattered patches of light rain and a few rain showers as a cold front moves eastward over the area by afternoon. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy by mid into late afternoon. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. High 67. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting west northwesterly by afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 12 December through Sunday / 18 December 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (05Dec)………………………………………… 7:13 am
Sunset this evening (05Dec)………………………………………….. 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (06Dec)…………………………………………….. 7:14 am
Sunset tomorrow (06Dec)……………………………………………… 5:30 pm