Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Clouds and Scattered to Numerous Rain and Storms Today Through the Weekend as Another Cold Front Approaches and Moves Through the Area Late Friday before Pulling Up Stationary Along the Texas Coast; More Stormy Weather Next Week (We/30Apr2025)

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

We/30Apr… Lightning threat with any thunderstorm.. Severe and Heavy Rain Risk
Th/01May… Lightning threat with any thunderstorm.. Severe and Heavy Rain Risk
Fr/02May… Lightning threat with any thunderstorm.. Heavy Rain Risk
Sa/03May… Lightning threat with any thunderstorm..
Su/04May… Lightning threat with any thunderstorm..
Mo/05May… Lightning threat with any thunderstorm..
Tu/06May… Lightning threat with any thunderstorm.. Severe Risk

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) With another approaching upper air disturbance and a cold front moving into north and western Texas, we’re see a renewed chance for rain and storms today continuing through the weekend. The front will, it would appear, struggle to make it’s way into central and south central Texas and finally pass southeastward by late Friday before pulling up stationary along the Texas coast and then returning northward as a warm front Sunday morning.

(2) We’ll keep lingering rain and storm chances Sunday night into Monday before another significant upper level low pressure storm system approaches Texas from the west by the middle part of next week just beyond the current seven day forecast period.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, my forecast is for 1.50 to 3.00 inches of rainfall, on average, for our IH35 corridor counties through the 7 day forecast period which ends in the early morning hours next Wednesday.

MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A medium to high confidence forecast, with uncertainty of timing and amounts of rainfall, appears for today through Monday then a medium confidence forecast for next Tuesday.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Wednesday / 30 April 2025

TODAY (30Apr)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.35 inch. High 88. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.15 inch or less. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY (01May)…. Mostly cloudy early then partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.15 inch or less. High 90. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph decreasing to 4 to 8 mph late.

FRIDAY (02May)…. Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front moves through in the afternoon hours. Periods of heavy rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 70% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 86. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph shifting more east northeasterly by late afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Periods of heavy rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 70% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Low 64. Light northeasterly wind.

SATURDAY (03May)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Not as warm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. High 78. Light northeasterly wind.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 62. Light east northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY (04May)…. Mostly cloudy early then becoming partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. High 80. Light easterly wind.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 8pm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 65. Light easterly wind.

MONDAY (05May)…. Mostly cloudy early then becoming partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. High 85. Light easterly wind becoming more southeasterly and increasing to 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 66. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY (06May)…. Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Periods of heavy rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.50 inch. High 85. South southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 07 May 2025 through Tuesday / 13 May 2025
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday/25Apr2025)
Valid Saturday / 10 May 2025 through Friday / 23 May 2025
Temperatures… Better Chances of Slightly Higher Than Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near Normal

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (We/30Apr)………………………………….. 6:48 am / 8:08 pm (+ 1 minutes)
Tomorrow (Th/01May)……………………………. 6:47 am / 8:09 pm (+ 2 minutes)

tk

All Winter Weather Threats Have Ended (1125am CT, We/17Jan2024 Update)

ALL / Austin, Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update 14 – FINAL
Prepared by UT University/Incident Response Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
1125am CT – Wednsday / 17 January 2024


All NWS winter event warnings have expired as of 10am this morning.

This is my final statement on this event.

tk