Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

A Stable Summer Weather Pattern Continues Today with Rain and Storm Chances Returning Over the Weekend and Continuing Through Much of Next Week (Friday / 10 July 2026)

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.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually)
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the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products since, in periods of  tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Fr/10Jul..
No Weather Threats Expected

Sa/11Jul..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Su/12Jul..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Mo/13Jul..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Tu/14Jul..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

We/15Jul..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Th/16Jul..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
0.75 to 1.00 inch of rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over
the 7 day forecast period which ends next Thursday.

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

A stable summer weather pattern continues today with upper level high
pressure in place just to the north of the area. This atmospheric “lid” will
limit upward motion and keep our weather dry even though a few showers
and storms could develop to our immediate south and east.

The upper level high will settle back northwestward over the Rockies as we
go into the weekend and this will allow a more moist and unstable air mass
to move northwestward into the area from the Gulf through the weekend
resulting in rain and storm chances returning to the forecast. In addition,
by the early into mid part of next week, this moist and unstable auiir mass
will combine with a weakening cold front, moving in from the north, to
further increase cloud cover as well as rain and thunderstorm chances
particularly Monday into Tuesday when some of the heavier rainfall totals
are likely to occur. Temperatures, in the more extensive cloud cover, will
fall a few degrees as well.

Rain chances will decrease a bit for Wednesday and Thursday as clouds
break and temperatures rebound a few degrees.

LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A high to very high forecast confidence today through next Tuesday.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor

FRIDAY (10Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 101 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 84 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT….
Becoming partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY (11Jul)….
Some morning low clouds then partly cloudy.
Scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch.
Afternoon high in the mid 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 100 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 84 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 10pm.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (12Jul)….
Some morning low clouds then partly cloudy.
Scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch.
Afternoon high in the mid 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 100 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 84 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 10pm.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY (13Jul)….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.25 to 0.35 inch.
Afternoon high in the low to mid 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 98 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 84 F.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph with some higher gusts around any storms.

MONDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average less than 0.20 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY (14Jul)….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch.
Afternoon high around 90.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 97 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 83 F.
Light easterly wind.

TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.15 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light easterly wind.

WEDNESDAY (15Jul)….
Mostly cloudy early then partly cloudy.
Scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Afternoon high in the lower 90s.
Maximum afternoon heat stress (HI) index 99 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 84 F.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY (16Jul)….
Partly cloudy.
Widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.20 inch.
Afternoon high in the low to mid 90s.
Maximum afternoon heat stress (HI) index 100 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 85 F.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 17 July 2026 through Thursday / 23 July 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday/03Jul2026)
Valid Saturday / 18 July 2026 through Friday / 31 July 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near Normal