Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Above Average Daytime High Temperatures and Drought Conditions Intensifying/Wildfire Danger Potential Increasing; A Dry Cold Front Ushers in a Little Cooler Air by Tuesday into Wednesday (Th/10Oct2024)

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Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT
University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera at THIS LINK.

On weekends and other University holidays when this site is not updated,
I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast
for metro Austin at THIS LINK.

In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow the latest area
watch, advisory and warning updates from our local NWS Austin-San Antonio
office through their WEBSITE.. or by reading the actual text products (always
the most recent at the top of the page) through THIS LINK which is courtesy of
the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always check the date and time of issuance
of these NWS text products since, in periods of tranquil weather, the latest
products may be outdated and/or expired.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS / IH35 CORRIDOR
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Drought Conditions Worsen with Associated Wildfire Danger Potential Increasing …

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NOAA / NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER (NHC)
7 DAY OUTLOOK FOR THE TEXAS COAST…

There are no tropical weather threats to the Texas coast over the next seven days.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) With the a stable and drier air in place, we’ll see afternoon high temperatures well above seasonal averages through Monday.

(2) A dry cold front will arrive about daybreak next Tuesday with slightly cooler temperatures finally making their way into the IH35 corridor.

(3) As drought conditions continue to worsen across our IH35 corridor, we are seeing wildfire danger potential increasing as evidenced by several wildfires around the area in the last few days. Our saving grace, so far, has been a relative lack of wind but with fall here it is only a matter of time before we get a stronger fall cold front pass with gusty northerly wind.. the question is whether we’ll see any rain before then (watching next Tuesday). Unfortunately, as of now, based on forecast and outlooks, there is no clear sign of precipitation through the next few weeks.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, no rain is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over the next seven day period.

MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Very high confidence forecast.

Troy’s Weather Forecast
for Austin / University of Texas and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Thursday / 10 October 2024

TODAY (10Oct)…. Sunshine. High 95. Light winds becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 62. Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm.

FRIDAY (11Oct)…. Sunshine. High 95. Light south southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 64. Light southerly wind becoming calm.

SATURDAY (12Oct)…. Sunshine. High 97. Calm wind becoming south southwesterly 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 67. Light southerly wind.

SUNDAY (13Oct)…. Sunshine. High 97. South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 67. Light southerly wind.

MONDAY (14Oct)…. Sunshine. High 97. Southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 66. South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY (15Oct)…. Sunshine as a cold front passes by 7am. Not as warm. High 88. Southwesterly wind shifting northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 59. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY (16Oct)…. Sunshine. A little cooler. High 84. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 17 October 2024 through Wednesday / 23 October 2024
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Th/10Oct)……………………………………………. 7:30 am / 7:05 pm (- 2 minutes)
Tomorrow (Fr/11Oct)………………………………………. 7:31 am / 7:06 pm (- 2 minutes)
Saturday (12Oct)…………………………………………….. 7:31 am / 7:03 pm (- 3 minutes)

tk