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—-
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
We/14Oct..
Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms 3pm to 7pm
Th/15Oct..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Fr/16Oct..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Sa/17Oct..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Su/18Oct..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Mo/19Oct..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Tu/20Oct..
Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
less than 0.20 inch of rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over the
7 day forecast period ending on Tuesday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
Southerly surface winds have resulted in increased low level moisture and higher humidity over the last day or two. While I have been maintaining a dry forecast through today, short range high resolution models continue, rather consistently, to suggest a few rain showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon hours later today into this evening. As a result of this consistency and the fact that more of the models are picking up on it, I will add a slim chance of precipitation mainly between 3pm and 7pm today.
An unsettled weather pattern still looks to set up beginning late tomorrow as we see a
distinct weather pattern change for Texas that will continue into Friday as a broad upper
level low pressure trough passes west to east into the central plains states. We will see slim rain chances beginning in the predawn hours Friday as the upper level trough helps to support a relatively strong cold front as it dives southeastward through Texas. Following the cold frontal passage, surface high pressure characterized by drier and cooler conditions will be in place by late Friday through the weekend.
Preliminary guidance suggests rain chances may return to our forecast by the early into the mid part of next week.
MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A high to very high forecast confidence now through Sunday night
– A medium high forecast confidence Monday
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
WEDNESDAY (14Oct)….
Morning low clouds then partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat 3pm to 7pm.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Afternoon high in the mid 90s (Maximum afternoon HI 103 F/WBGT 87 F).
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.
THURSDAY (15Oct)….
Morning low clouds then partly cloudy with a cold front passing after midnight.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms after 11pm.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of late night rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Afternoon high in low 90s.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 60s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph shifting north northeasterly and becoming gusty after midnight.
FRIDAY (16Oct)….
Mostly cloudy before 8am then partly cloudy. Windy and cooler.
Widely scattered rain showers before 8am.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of morning rain, will average less than .05 inch.
Afternoon high around 80.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 50s.
North northeasterly wind 15 to 25 mph with some gusts to 35 mph.
SATURDAY (17Oct)….
Partly cloudy early then mostly clear with winds slowly diminishing.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 70s.
Overnight low in the low to mid 50s.
North northeasterly wind 10 to 20 mph early before slowly diminishing.
SUNDAY (18Oct)….
Mostly clear.
Afternoon high in the upper 70s to around 80.
Overnight low in the upper 50s.
Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph early then light easterly at night.
MONDAY (19Oct)….
Mostly clear in the morning then partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the mid 80s.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 60s.
Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more southeasterly at night.
TUESDAY (20Oct)….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 80s.
Overnight low in the upper 60s.
Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 21 October 2026 through Tuesday / 27 October 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 09 October 2026)
Valid Saturday / 24 October 2026 through Friday / 06 November 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near Normal
Precipitation.. Better Chances of Near to Slightly Above Normal