Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Lingering Lighter Rain Over the Weekend Before Sunshine Reappears with Drier and Slightly Cooler Air Next Week (Weekend Update)

Any questions? Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT
University of Texas weather conditions at THIS LINK and see the
live camera at THIS LINK.

On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated,
I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast
for metro Austin at THIS LINK.

Remember, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility
to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx .
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so it
can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually)
of all NWS Austin-San Antonio watches, advisories and warnings..  Always check
the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products since, in periods of  tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..

—-

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Sa/03Oct..
Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Su/04Oct..
Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Mo/05Oct..
No Weather Hazards Expected

Tu/06Oct..
No Weather Hazards Expected

We/07Oct..
No Weather Hazards Expected

Th/08Oct..
No Weather Hazards Expected

—

7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
.50 to .75 inch rainfall amounts, on average, with some isolated higher totals
are forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day forecast period
ending on Friday.

—

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

A slow moving cold front is passing  through our area and move to the east with some
precipitation lingering behind the front through the weekend as cooler air arrives.

Guidance suggests a second cold front may move in from the north northeast by late Sunday into Monday and Tuesday Tuesday as cooler and drier air arrives in our area with sunshine returning and continuing through much of next week.

LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A high to very high forecast confidence through the next seven day forecast period

—

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor

SATURDAY (03Sep)….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered to numerous rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Daytime rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch.
Nighttime rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.20 inch.
Afternoon high around 80.
Overnight low in the upper 60s.
Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph with a few higher gusts.

SUNDAY (04Oct)….
Mostly cloudy through midday then partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon and nighttime hours.
Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 5pm.
Daytime rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.05 inch.
Afternoon high in the low 80s.
Overnight low in the upper 60s.
Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY (05Oct)….
Becoming mostly clear.
Afternoon high in the low 80s.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 60s.
North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY (06Oct)….
Mostly clear.
Afternoon high in the low to mid 80s.
Overnight low in the mid 60s.
North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY (07Oct)….
Mostly clear.
Afternoon high in the mid 80s.
Overnight low in the mid ortheasterly wind 4 to 8 m 60s.
Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light easterly late.

THURSDAY (08Oct)….
Mostly clear.
Afternoon high in the mid 80s.
Overnight low in the mid 60s.
Light easterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 09 October 2026 through Thursday / 15 October 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near Normal

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 25 September 2026)
Valid Saturday / 10 October 2026 through Friday / 23 October 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation.. Better Chances of Near Normal