Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Clouds Break Briefly Today but Pick Up Again Tonight through Tomorrow and then Again Through Next Weekend.. Rain Chances Return Tomorrow Night into Thursday and Then Returning Through the Weekend.. (Tu/28Nov2023 Update)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 28 November 2023

Not available today..

Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow
the latest area watch, advisory and warning updates from our
local NWS Austin-San Antonio office through their website…
www.weather.gov/ewx … or by reading the actual text products
(always the most recent at the top of the page) through this link
which is courtesy of the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always
check the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products
since, in periods of tranquil weather, these products may be
outdated and/or expired.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) An active subtropical jet stream, coming off the tropical Pacific Ocean northeastward across Mexico and into the southern Plains and eastward through the southeastern USA, will continue introduce mid and upper level moisture as another upper level disturbance moves eastward from the western USA. A developing surface low over Texas by late tonight into Thursday will result in the return to rain chances Wednesday night peaking on Thursday with a surface cold front following the upper level system and moving across the IH35 corridor in the predawn hours Friday.

(2) After dropping from the forecast late Thursday through Thursday night and Friday, with the subtropical jet stream remaining active, we’ll see clouds thicken once again with relatively slim rain chances continuing on and off Friday night through the weekend.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, rainfall for our IH35 corridor will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch over the next seven day period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high forecast confidence for over the next seven days.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 28 November 2023

TODAY (28Nov)…. Becoming partly cloudy. High 61. Light northeasterly wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 42. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light southeasterly late.

WEDNESDAY (29Nov)…. Mostly cloudy. High 61. Light southerly wind early increasing to 5 to 12 mph by afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with rain showers developing. A few thunderstorms after midnight with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance by 9pm then a 50% chance at any given location after midnight, will average 0.25 inch. Low 56. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY (30Nov)…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms, mainly east of the IH35 corridor, with an associated lightning threat, mainly before 2pm. Becoming partly cloudy by late afternoon. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 72. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT… Partly cloudy with a cold front passing after midnight. Low 50. South southwesterly wind decreasing to 5 to 12 mph before shifting north northwesterly after midnight.

FRIDAY (01Dec)…. Partly cloudy and breezy. High 64. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles developing after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs at any given location with a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. Low 47. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY (02Dec)…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs with a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.05 inch or less. High 64. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more southeasterly by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy as a weak cold front passes after midnight. Low 50. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more northwesterly after midnight.

SUNDAY (03Dec)…. Partly cloudy. High 69. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 46. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY (04Dec)…. Partly cloudy. High 65. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 05 December 2023 through Monday / 11 December 2023
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28Nov)………………………………………… 7:08 am
Sunset this evening (28Nov)………………………………………….. 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (29Nov)…………………………………………….. 7:08 am
Sunset tomorrow (29Nov)……………………………………………… 5:30 pm