Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

A More Stable Pattern For the Week Ahead with Rain and Storm Chances and Even Some Periods of Heavier Rain by Late into the Weekend into the First Half of Next Week (Thursday / 11 June 2026)

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the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products since, in periods of  tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Th/11Jun..
No Weather Threats Expected

Fr/12Jun..
No Weather Threats Expected

Sa/13Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Su/14Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Mo/15Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Tu/16Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

We/17Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 2.00 to 2.25 inches of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties over
the 7 day forecast period which ends Wednesday.

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

Rain chances have diminished and we’ll see a more in the way of sunshine through
the remainder of the week. Much of as we’ve seen the last few days, a few rain
showers are possible in the afternoon hours over the next day or so but, at this
point, given their very isolated nature, I am not including it in my forecast.

With more sunshine, as afternoon high temperatures rise into the 90s this week, low
level moisture will result in maximum afternoon heat index values greater than 100 F.

By the weekend into next week, as our atmosphere grows more moist and unstable,
a cold front will move southward into central and north Texas. As a result, I will
increase our rain and storm chances particularly for the first half of next week when
heavier rainfall is possible.

LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High to very high forecast confidence through Friday..
– High forecast confidence Saturday through Wednesday..

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor

THURSDAY (11Jun)….
Some clouds early then partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the mid 90s. Afternoon maximum heat index 103 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY (12June)….
Some morning low clouds then partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the mid 90s. Afternoon maximum heat index 104 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear early then turning partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (13Jun)….
Some morning low clouds then partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the mid 90s. Afternoon maximum heat index 103 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY (14Jun)….
Some morning low clouds then partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Afternoon high in the mid 90s. Afternoon maximum heat index 102 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph with a few higher gusts.

MONDAY (15Jun)….
Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.20 inch.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average less than 0.20 inch.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

TUESDAY (16Jun)….
Mostly cloudy as a weak cold front passes by mid morning.
Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain, will average 0.75 inch.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
Southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph early shifting east northeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch.
Overnight low in the low 70s.
Light easterly wind.

WEDNESDAY (17Jun)….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Afternoon high around 90.
Light east southeasterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 18 June 2026 through Wednesday / 24 June 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 05Jun2026)
Valid Saturday / 20 June 2026 through Friday / 03 July 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Above Normal