Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

After a Few Storms Yesterday, A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Will Remain in Place Through the Seven Day Forecast Period Ahead with Afternoon into Evening Heat Stress; Even with Some Rain Yesterday, Wildfire Danger Continues to Increase Slowly (Friday / 28 August 2026)

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Fr/28Aug..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Sa/29Aug..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Su/30Aug..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Mo/31Aug
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Tu/01Sep
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

We/02Sep
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Th/03Sep
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
little if any rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day
forecast period ending on Thursday.

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

In the wake of yesterday’s storms, upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid”
on the atmosphere, has rebuilt over the area and will stay this way through the
balance of the seven day forecast period with the surface front that moved in
yesterday weakening and returning northward as a warm front. This means we’re
back to a stable pattern meaning dry late summer for our area.

We’ll continue with elevated to dangerous afternoon and evening heat stress
over the next seven days. A NWS Heat Advisory may once again become
necessary. Over the coming days, please stay hydrated and take it easy out
there in the afternoon into evening hours.

In addition, we continue to see drought conditions worsen over the area and
vegetation continues to dry out, wildfire danger continues to slowly increase over
our area. So far, winds have been relatively light so the danger has been limited.
As we wrap up summer in September and head into the fall months, this danger
will likely continue to get worse assuming no precipitation (which I’m not really
seeing in longer range climate outlooks). Another thing we need to monitor are
any early fall season cold fronts and any stronger northerly winds that might
occur with their passage. As I mention, I do not see either of these things happening
at this point, but I will continue to monitor things closely. Burns bans have been
posted for our IH35 counties so I would strongly discourage any outdoor burning.

LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A very high forecast confidence through next Thursday.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor

FRIDAY (28Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 102.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 109 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 89 F.
Light winds early becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s to around 80.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.

SATURDAY (29Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 108 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (30Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 106 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY (31Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 106 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY (01Sep)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 107 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY (02Sep)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 108 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY (03Sep)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 108 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 04 September 2026 through Thursday / 10 September 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Below Normal

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 14 August 2026)
Valid Saturday / 05 September 2026 through Friday / 18 September 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation.. Better Chances of Near Normal