Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Rain and Thunderstorms Return as an Unsettled Weather Pattern Continues with Mostly Beneficial Soaking Rains Over the Coming Days with Some Localized Flooding Issues Expected (Mo/22Jul2024)

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms ..
.. Localized Mostly Urban Flooding Issues Possible ..

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Our shift to a more unstable weather situation is complete as evidenced by yesterday’s patchy heavy 2 to 3 inch rainfall over parts of the IH35 corridor. As low level moisture continues to increase with a weakening frontal boundary over the area, rain and thunderstorm chances will continue on and off over the next seven days. I think we’ll see more widespread beneficial soaking rainfall particularly today through Thursday. Depending on where rainfall occurs, we’ll increasingly see a faster response on creek and stream systems as well as in urban areas. As we move through the next seven days, it’s a good time to remember the NWS slogan “turn around, don’t drown” when encountering low water crossings and flood prone areas.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, 2.50 to 3.75 inches of rainfall is expected for our IH35 corridor counties over the next seven day period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High confidence through the next seven days.

Troy’s Weather Forecast
for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 22 July 2024

TODAY (22Jul)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms this morning then becoming more numerous this afternoon with an associated lightning threat. Periods of heavy rainfall possible. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain this morning and 70% this afternoon at any given location, will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 88. Light wind becoming northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.. winds strong and gusty around any thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Low 73. Light wind.

TUESDAY (23Jul)…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Periods of heavy rainfall possible. Rainfall, given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 86. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. Low 73. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY (24Jul)…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Periods of heavy rain possible. Rainfall, given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 86. Light easterly wind.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. Low 72. Light easterly wind.

THURSDAY (25Jul)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. High 87. Light easterly wind.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 72. Light southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY (26Jul)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 88. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 72. Light southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY (27Jul)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 88. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance at any given location, will average less than 0.15 inch. Low 73. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY (28Jul)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 88. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 29 July 2024 through Sunday / 04 August 2024
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Mo/22Jul)…………………………………….. 6:44 am / 8:31 pm
Tomorrow (Tu/23Jul)……………………………….. 6:44 am / 8:30 pm