Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

NWS Heat Advisory through 7pm Wednesday; A Mostly Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Through the Seven Day Forecast Period with Afternoon into Evening Heat Stress; Slim Rain Chances Thursday; Wildfire Danger Continues to Increase Slowly (Tuesday / 25 August 2026)

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Tu/25Aug
Heat Advisory…
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

We/26Aug..
Heat Advisory Until 7pm…
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Th/27Aug..
Lightning Threat with Any Isolated Thunderstorms
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Fr/28Aug..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Sa/29Aug..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Su/30Aug..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Mo/31Aug
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
0.10 inch or less of rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over
the 7 day forecast period ending on Monday.

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, continues
through the balance of the seven day forecast period. This is resulting in a
stable pattern meaning a dry late summer weather pattern for our area.

We’ll continue with elevated to dangerous afternoon and evening heat stress
over the next seven days. A NWS Extreme Heat Warning until at least 7pm on
Wednesday. Please stay hydrated and take it easy out there in the afternoon
into evening hours.

After looking more closely, I will include isolated to widely scattered precipitation
for Thursday into Thursday night as an upper air low pressure disturbance
approaches the area from the north northeast. The atmosphere will remain
relatively dry with most precipitation evaporating before reaching the ground;
as a result, the rain chances remain very low for any given location with most
areas remaining dry.

Given that, as we continue to see drought conditions worsen over the area and
vegetation continues to dry out, wildfire danger continues to slowly increase over
our area. So far, winds have been relatively light so the danger has been limited.
As we wrap up summer in September and head into the fall months, this danger
will likely continue to get worse assuming no precipitation (which I’m not seeing
in longer range climate outlooks). Another thing we need to monitor are early
fall season cold fronts and any stronger northerly winds that occur with their
passage. As I mention, I do not see either of these things happening at this point,
but I will continue to monitor things closely. Burns bans have been posted for our
IH35 counties so I would strongly discourage any outdoor burning.

LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A very high forecast confidence through next Sunday.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor

… Heat Advisory in Effect until 7pm Wednesday …

TUESDAY (25Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 105.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 107 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s to around 80.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY (26Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 105.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 108 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 89 F.
South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy.
Overnight low around 80.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY (27Aug)….
Partly cloudy.
Isolated afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning/gusty wind threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance of rain, will average 0.05 inch or less.
Afternoon high around 104.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 109 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 89 F.
South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming strong and gusty around any thunderstorms.

THURSDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning/gusty wind threat before 10pm.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the upper 70s to around 80.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming strong and gusty around any thunderstorms.

FRIDAY (28Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 102.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 108 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s to around 80.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (29Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 108 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 89 F.
South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s to around 80.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY (30Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 107 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s to around 80.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY (31Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 107 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 01 September 2026 through Monday / 07 September 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near Normal

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 14 August 2026)
Valid Saturday / 05 September 2026 through Friday / 18 September 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation.. Better Chances of Near Normal