Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

A Stable Summer Weather Pattern Forecast Over the Next Seven Days with Only Very Slim Afternoon Rain and Storm Chances Through Mid to Late Week (Mo/23Jun2025)

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Remember, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility
to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx .
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so it
can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually)
of all NWS Austin-San Antonio watches, advisories and warnings..  Always check
the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products since, in periods of
tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Mo/23Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Lightning Threat with Any Isolated Storms..
Tu/24Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Lightning Threat with Any Isolated Storms..
We/25Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Lightning Threat with Any Isolated Storms.. Th/26Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress .. Lightning Threat with Any Isolated Storms..
Fr/27Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress..
Sa/28Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress..
Su/29Jun… Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..

7-DAY TEXAS TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK…

No tropical threats are expected…

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) An upper level ridge (think “lid on atmosphere”) continues overhead and will continue to hold through the next seven day period. Afternoon high temperatures will combine with humidity to produce elevated afternoon heat stress levels.

(2) Isolated afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms (only about 10% rain probabilities at any given location) could develop between now and Thursday with a slightly more stable environment showing up by Friday through the upcoming weekend with rain chances dropping from the forecast.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, my forecast is for less than 0.10 inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day forecast period which ends in the early morning hours next Monday.

MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the next seven days.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Monday / 24 June 2025

MONDAY (23Jun)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with a localized lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 10%chance at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch at a few spots. Highs in the mid 90s with maximum afternoon heat index values of 103 F. South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY (24Jun)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with a localized lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 10%chance at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch at a few spots. Highs in the mid 90s with maximum afternoon heat index values of 103 F. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.

WEDNESDAY (25Jun)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with a localized lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 10%chance at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch at a few spots. Highs in the mid 90s with afternoon heat index values of 102 F. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the low to mid 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.

THURSDAY (26Jun)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with a localized lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 10%chance at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch at a few spots. Highs in the low to mid 90s with afternoon heat index values of 101. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the low to mid 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY (27Jun)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s with afternoon heat index values of 103 F. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (28Jun)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s with afternoon heat index values of 103 F. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (29Jun)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 104 F. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 30 June 2025 through Sunday / 06 July 2025
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 20 June 2025)
Valid Saturday / 05 July 2025 through Friday / 18 July 2025
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Below Normal

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Mo/24Jun)………………………………… 6:30 am / 8:36 pm (- 0 minutes)
Tomorrow (Tu/25Jun)…………………………… 6:31 am / 8:37 pm (- 0 minutes)

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