Rain Chances Still Appear for Late Week (Tu/09Aug2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 09 August 2022

Will Not Be Updated Today…

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. Elevated Heat Indices with Above Average Temps Continuing ….
…. High Wildfire Danger Continues …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Even though it is still basically remain in place, the upper level high is centered more to the north of the area and this will mean a little less “lid” on the atmosphere. As a result, expect very limited rain chances today into tonight mainly southeast of the IH35 corridor. Temperatures will continue to be above seasonal averages.

(2) By tomorrow and continuing through the latter part of the week and into Saturday, with the upper level high pressure area continuing to be to our distant north and northwest, a series of weak disturbances will move west southwestward into our area. As a result, we’ll see widely scattered to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms for our area tomorrow with the best chances on Thursday. Rain chances will decrease but still remain in the forecast Friday into Saturday.

(3) By the late in the weekend into early next week, the upper level high will once again become a little stronger overhead with rain chances dropping from the forecast. As this occurs, afternoon high temperatures will rise once again with some triple digit afternoon high temperatures returning.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting rainfall of 0.25″ or less over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 09 August 2022

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. Widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.10″ inch or less. High 101. Southeasterly wind becoming more easterly 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before midnight, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.10″ inch or less. Low 77. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.25″ inch or less. High 98. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before midnight, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.10″ inch or less. Low 77. East southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.25″ inch or less. High 99. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before 9pm, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.10″ inch or less. Low 77. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.10″ inch or less. High 99. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Isolated rain showers before 7pm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance of rain, will average 0.10″ inch or less. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 100. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 16 August through Monday / 22 August 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (09 Aug)………………………………………… 6:54 am
Sunset this evening (09 Aug)………………………………………….. 8:18 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (10 Aug)…………………………………………….. 6:55 am
Sunset tomorrow (10 Aug)……………………………………………… 8:17 pm

Some Mid and Late Week Rain Chances (Mo/08Aug2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 08 August 2022

Will Not Be Updated Today…

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. Elevated Heat Indices with Above Average Temps Continuing ….
…. High Wildfire Danger Continues …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Even though it is still basically remain in place, the upper level high is centered more to the northwest of the area and this will mean a little less “lid” on the atmosphere as we start our new week. Temperatures will still be above seasonal averages.

(2) By Wednesday and continuing through the latter part of the week, with the upper level high pressure area continuing to be to our north and northwest, a series of weak disturbances will move west southwestward into our area. As a result, I think we’ll see widely scattered to scattered rain showers for our area.

(3) By the weekend, the upper level high will once again become a little stronger overhead with rain chances dropping from the forecast. As this occurs, afternoon high temperatures will rise once again with some triple digit afternoon high temperatures returning.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting rainfall of 0.25″ or less over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 08 August 2022

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. Widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.10″ inch or less. High 101. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before midnight, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.10″ inch or less. Low 77. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.25″ inch or less. High 97. East southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before midnight, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.10″ inch or less. Low 77. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.25″ inch or less. High 98. East southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before 9pm, with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.10″ inch or less. Low 77. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 99. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 100. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 15 August through Sunday / 21 August 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (08 Aug)………………………………………… 6:54 am
Sunset this evening (08 Aug)………………………………………….. 8:19 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (09 Aug)…………………………………………….. 6:54 am
Sunset tomorrow (09 Aug)……………………………………………… 8:18 pm