Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 14 November 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Lightning with Any Isolated Thunderstorm Today …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) An upper air low pressure area is passing overhead with the much cooler surface air over run by moisture with clouds and rain chances as well as chilly below average temperatures continuing through mid afternoon today. As the upper air disturbance passes, a surface cold front will pass southeastward through the area with northerly winds increasing.

(2) Skies will clear again as this latest surge of polar air comes southward through the plains states tonight and tomorrow into Wednesday. Temperatures will continue well below seasonal averages.

(3) Another upper air low pressure disturbance and reinforcing coldv front will move through the area with possible rain chances Friday into Saturday before skies partially clear Saturday night into Sunday. Much below average temperatures will continue.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, 0.25 to 0.50 inch rainfall totals over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the next seven days.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 14 November 2022

TODAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool with light rain showers and patches of rain and drizzle mainly before 3pm with rain quickly diminishing thereafter as a cold front passes later in the afternoon. Patchy fog before 3pm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 80% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than .25 inch. Highs remaining near 50. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more northerly by late afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy through midnight then slowly decreasing clouds. Breezy. Low 39. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY…. Becoming partly cloudy. High 55. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 38. Northerly wind decreasing to 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 55. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 37. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 59. Light wind.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 39. Light wind.

FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 57. Light wind becoming easterly by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy during the evening then a few rain showers and sprinkles developing after 11pm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than .05 inch. Low 41. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy and turning breezy with a few rain showers and sprinkles as a cold front passes. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than .05 inch. Turning breezy. High 51. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers and sprinkles before 8pm. Decreasing clouds after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location before 8pm, will average less than .05 inch. Turning breezy. Low 38. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 52. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 21 November through Sunday / 27 November 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (14Nov)………………………………………… 6:56 am
Sunset this evening (14Nov)………………………………………….. 5:35 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (15Nov)…………………………………………….. 6:57 am
Sunset tomorrow (15Nov)……………………………………………… 5:34 pm