Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 28 November 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Following weak/diffuse cold frontal passage about sunset last night, a sunny day is ahead for south central Texas as the weak front to our south washes out and a light southerly surface wind returns.

(2) Enough moisture will return for low clouds and patchy fog and drizzle to develop in the overnight hours tonight into the early morning hours tomorrow.

(3) Clouds will break quickly tomorrow with sunshine and a south southwesterly surface wind along with unseasonably warm temperatures.

(4) A strong cold front will swiftly move south southeastward through the area before midnight Tuesday night but limited moisture and instability will mean that the wind shift to the north will be about the only sensible effect as the front passes.

(5) Much cooler surface high pressure will settle into Texas Wednesday thruogh Thursday before the high pressure area moves eastward and a southerly surface wind returns late Thursday into Thursday night.

(6) Clouds and warmer temperatures will return Friday through our upcoming weekend. A few light rain showers and sprinkles may develop late Friday night through Saturday as moisture deepens. Another cold front will be moving into Texas and approaching our area by Sunday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, trace rainfall totals over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through Thursday with a medium confidence forecast Friday through the weekend.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 28 November 2022

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 71. Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early. Thickening low clouds by 11pm. Patchy fog and drizzle developing after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance, will average trace amounts. Low 57. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Patchy fog and drizzle early. Mostly cloudy early then becoming mostly sunny, breezy and unseasonably warm. Early morning rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. High 80. South southwesterly winds increasing 15 to 25 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear as a cold front passes by midnight. Turning cooler. Low 45. South southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 18 mph and gusty.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine, windy and much cooler. High 55. Northerly winds 15 to 25 mph with a few gusts above 35 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 37. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts early with winds decreasing late.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 56. Light northeasterly wind becoming more east southeasterly 5 to 12 mph by afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with thickening low clouds late. Low 47. Light southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy and a little warmer. High 68. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles possible after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance, will average trace amounts. Low 59. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers and sprinkles. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance, will average trace amounts. High 72. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers and sprinkles. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance, will average trace amounts. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy. High 73. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 05 December through Sunday / 11 December 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28Nov)………………………………………… 7:08 am
Sunset this evening (28Nov)………………………………………….. 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (29Nov)…………………………………………….. 7:08 am
Sunset tomorrow (29Nov)……………………………………………… 5:30 pm