Little Change in our Weather Pattern (We/28Sep2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 28 September 2022

 

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Over the next seven days, a very stable early fall weather pattern holds across south central Texas with a mostly clear sky continuing. Afternoon high temperatures will be close to or slightly above normal for this time of year and overnight lows for all of the area fall into the 50s and 60s through the next seven days.

(2) Surface winds slowly return back southeasterly by the weekend into next week with humidity slowly increasing.

(3) Intense tropical cyclone Ian is moving ashore on west coast of Florida. This will be a catastrophic situation.. I continue to extremely concerned for the potential storm surge (up to near 20 feet in some areas), flooding, tornado and high wind impacts of a possible major hurricane on the west coast of Florida. The system will have little sensible effect on our weather locally.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance continues to show no rainfall over our area for the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 28 September 2022

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 92. Light wind becoming east northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 60. Light east northeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 92. Light wind becoming northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 90. Light wind becoming north northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light east northeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 90. Light wind becoming east northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light wind.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 91. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 62. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 92. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 63. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 92. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 05 October through Tuesday / 11 October 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 Sep)………………………………………… 7:23 am
Sunset this evening (28 Sep)………………………………………….. 7:20 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (29 Sep)…………………………………………….. 7:23 am
Sunset tomorrow (29 Sep)……………………………………………… 7:18 pm

Plenty of Sunshine for the Coming Days as a Dry and Stable Early Fall Weather Pattern Persists (Tu/27Sep2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 27 September 2022

 

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Over the next seven days, a very stable early fall weather pattern holds across south central Texas with a mostly clear sky continuing. Temperatures have fallen back to being closer to normal for this time of year and overnight lows for all of the area fall into the 50s and 60s through the next seven days.

(2) Surface winds slowly return back southeasterly by the weekend into next week with humidity slowly increasing.

(3) Tropical cyclone Ian has moved western Cuba overnight and is emerging over the southeast Gulf of Mexico with signs that it may rapidly intensify today into tomorrow before moving toward the west coast of Florida by Wednesday and Thursday. I am extremely concerned for the potential storm surge, flooding, tornado and high wind impacts of a possible major hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and the west coast of Florida over the coming days. The system will have little sensible effect on our weather locally.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance continues to show no rainfall over our area for the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 27 September 2022

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 91. Light northeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 61. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 91. Light wind becoming east northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 60. Light east northeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 89. Light wind becoming northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 89. Light wind becoming north northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light east northeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 91. Light wind becoming east northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light wind.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 92. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 62. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 93. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 04 October through Monday / 10 October 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (27 Sep)………………………………………… 7:22 am
Sunset this evening (27 Sep)………………………………………….. 7:21 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (28 Sep)…………………………………………….. 7:23 am
Sunset tomorrow (28 Sep)……………………………………………… 7:20 pm