Much Cooler with Plenty of Sunshine Next Day or So.. but Clouds Roll Back in Late Week Through the Weekend into Early Next Week (We/30Nov2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 30 November 2022

Will Not Be Updated Today…

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A strong cold front moved south southeastward through the area overnight.
Much cooler surface high pressure will settle into Texas today through Thursday before the high pressure area moves eastward and a southerly surface wind returns late Thursday into Thursday night.

(2) Clouds and warmer temperatures will return Friday into our upcoming weekend with a few sprinkles possible. Another cold front will be moving into Texas by Saturday and moving to near to just south of the Austin area by late Saturday into Saturday night as clouds persist.

(3) With the clouds holding in, the front will return back north northeastward by early Sunday as south southeasterly surface winds return area wide. Another cold front will move southeastward through the area early Tuesday with another reinforcing cold front by Tuesday night. Guidance would suggest the clouds will continue with some suggestion of a better rain chances by Tuesday into Tuesday night as a chilly, overrunning pattern becomes established locally.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, 0.05″ inch or less over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through Thursday with a medium to high confidence forecast Friday into early next week.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 30 November 2022

TODAY…. Sunshine, breezy and much cooler. High 57. Northerly winds 8 to 18 mph with a few higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 37. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts early with winds decreasing late.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 58. Light east northeasterly wind becoming more east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with thickening low clouds late with a few sprinkles developing. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 54. Light easterly wind becoming calm.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy and warmer. A few sprinkles before 9am. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 73. Calm wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles developing after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy and a little cooler as a cold front moves overhead by early afternoon. A few sprinkles. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 68. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph shifting north northeasterly 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered patches of light rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. Low 54. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered patches of light rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. High 70. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeasterly in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy. High 78. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 65. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers as a cold front passes in the morning. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. High 68. South southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 07 December through Tuesday / 13 December 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (30Nov)………………………………………… 7:09 am
Sunset this evening (30Nov)………………………………………….. 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01Dec)…………………………………………….. 7:10 am
Sunset tomorrow (01Dec)……………………………………………… 5:30 pm

Strong Cold Front Due by Late Tonight with Much Cooler Temps Following (Tu/29Nov2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 29 November 2022

 

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Enough moisture has returned return for low clouds and patchy fog and drizzle this morning.. but clouds are breaking quickly with sunshine and a south southwesterly surface wind along with unseasonably warm temperatures.

(2) A strong cold front will swiftly move south southeastward through the area between 10pm and midnight tonight but limited moisture and instability will mean that the wind shift to the north will be about the only sensible effect as the front passes.

(3) Much cooler surface high pressure will settle into Texas Wednesday thruogh Thursday before the high pressure area moves eastward and a southerly surface wind returns late Thursday into Thursday night.

(4) Clouds and warmer temperatures will return Friday through our upcoming weekend and into early next week. Another cold front will be moving into Texas and approaching our area by late Monday night into Tuesday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, little or no rainfall over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through Thursday with a medium to high confidence forecast Friday through the weekend.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 29 November 2022

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy early then becoming mostly sunny, breezy and unseasonably warm. High 80. South southwesterly winds increasing 15 to 25 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear as a cold front passes between 10pm and midnight. Turning cooler. Low 45. South southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 18 mph and gusty.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine, windy and much cooler. High 57. Northerly winds 15 to 25 mph with a few gusts above 35 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 37. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts early with winds decreasing late.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 59. Light northeasterly wind becoming more east southeasterly 5 to 12 mph by afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with thickening low clouds late. Low 50. Light southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy and warmer. High 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 62. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy. High 75. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy. High 75. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 66. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy. High 75. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 06 December through Monday / 12 December 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (29Nov)………………………………………… 7:08 am
Sunset this evening (29Nov)………………………………………….. 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (30Nov)…………………………………………….. 7:09 am
Sunset tomorrow (30Nov)……………………………………………… 5:30 pm