Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 05 October 2020 ….

  
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The surface high pressure area, in the wake of a weak cold front late yesterday, will move eastward. As a trough, or line, of surface low pressure develops over far west Texas, a slowly warming trend begins tomorrow and continues through the seven day forecast period with afternoon highs back to 90 degrees or slightly higher by the weekend.

(2) The NWS/National Hurricane Center (NHC) is issuing advisories on tropical cyclones Gamma, weakening and located over the southern Gulf of Mexico, and Delta, strengthening and over the western Caribbean Sea. These systems, based on the official NHC forecast, will stay well to our east over the coming days which will result in the dry stable weather pattern continuing.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, forecasts no precipitation with temperatures near average overall through Sunday.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Today through Thursday..
Very High confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Monday / 05 October 2020

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 86. Light wind becoming more east southeasterly in the afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 61. Light east southeasterly wind early then calm late.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 88. Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 61. Light easterly wind becoming calm.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 88. Calm wind becoming east northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 62. Light northeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 88. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 62. Light northeasterly wind becoming calm.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 89. Calm wind becoming north northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 62. Light northerly wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 91. Light wind early becoming light south southeasterly by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 64. Light wind.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 91. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 12 October 2020 through Sunday / 18 October 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (05 October)…………………………………. 7:27 am
Sunset this evening (05 October)…………………………………… 7:11 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (06 October)……………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (06 October)………………………………………. 7:10 pm

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 02 October 2020 ….

  
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The stable early fall weather pattern continues in the wake of a weak reinforcing cold front that passed, as predicted, late yesterday afternoon. This will basically keep the dry weather pattern in place through our upcoming weekend.

(2) The surface high pressure area, in the wake of the front late yesterday, will move eastward and we’ll see a return to a southerly surface wind by late today. A warming trend starts tomorrow before yet another dry cold front moves southward through the area by late Sunday into Monday with the air mass being reinforced with a dry weather pattern continuing into the new week.

(3) The NWS/National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to watch a disturbance over the northwestern Caribbean Sea get better developed. According to NHC meteorologists, there is now 90% chance of development into a tropical cyclone (tropical cyclone Gamma??) over the next 5 days as the system moves slowly west northwestward. Tropical storm watches/warnings are possible later today over parts of the Yucatan Peninsula. Guidance suggests what ever develops will meander into the southern Gulf of Mexico and the Bay of Campeche over the coming days as the system gets shut off from moving north by a front moving south over the Gulf of Mexico.  I’ll continue to keep a close eye on this system.

(4) In addition, another west northwestward moving tropical wave, over the central Caribbean, will be moving west northwestward and has a 30%chance of the next five days of becoming a tropical cyclone. I’m watching this closely as well.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, forecasts no precipitation with temperatures near average overall through Thursday.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Today through Thursday..
Very High confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Friday / 02 October 2020

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 83. Light north northeasterly wind becoming light easterly.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 86. South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 61. Decreasing winds becoming light south southeasterly.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 86. Light southerly wind.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 59. Light northeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 85. Light wind becoming more east southeasterly in the afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 60. Light southeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 87. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 61. Light southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 88. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 62. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 89. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 09 October 2020 through Thursday / 15 October 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 October)…………………………………. 7:25 am
Sunset this evening (02 October)…………………………………… 7:15 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 October)……………………………………… 7:26 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 October)………………………………………. 7:13 pm