Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 02 October 2020 ….

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The stable early fall weather pattern continues in the wake of a weak reinforcing cold front that passed, as predicted, late yesterday afternoon. This will basically keep the dry weather pattern in place through our upcoming weekend.

(2) The surface high pressure area, in the wake of the front late yesterday, will move eastward and we’ll see a return to a southerly surface wind by late today. A warming trend starts tomorrow before yet another dry cold front moves southward through the area by late Sunday into Monday with the air mass being reinforced with a dry weather pattern continuing into the new week.

(3) The NWS/National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to watch a disturbance over the northwestern Caribbean Sea get better developed. According to NHC meteorologists, there is now 90% chance of development into a tropical cyclone (tropical cyclone Gamma??) over the next 5 days as the system moves slowly west northwestward. Tropical storm watches/warnings are possible later today over parts of the Yucatan Peninsula. Guidance suggests what ever develops will meander into the southern Gulf of Mexico and the Bay of Campeche over the coming days as the system gets shut off from moving north by a front moving south over the Gulf of Mexico.  I’ll continue to keep a close eye on this system.

(4) In addition, another west northwestward moving tropical wave, over the central Caribbean, will be moving west northwestward and has a 30%chance of the next five days of becoming a tropical cyclone. I’m watching this closely as well.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, forecasts no precipitation with temperatures near average overall through Thursday.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Today through Thursday..
Very High confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Friday / 02 October 2020

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 83. Light north northeasterly wind becoming light easterly.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 86. South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 61. Decreasing winds becoming light south southeasterly.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 86. Light southerly wind.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 59. Light northeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 85. Light wind becoming more east southeasterly in the afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 60. Light southeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 87. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 61. Light southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 88. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 62. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 89. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 09 October 2020 through Thursday / 15 October 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 October)…………………………………. 7:25 am
Sunset this evening (02 October)…………………………………… 7:15 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 October)……………………………………… 7:26 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 October)………………………………………. 7:13 pm