A Cold Front Weakens Overhead / Just North of Austin Today (8a, Mo/19Oct2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 19 October 2020 ….

  
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A weakening cold front is washing out just to our northwest as we start the new week. While the front could slide southeastward into parts of the Austin metro area and the IH35 corridor today, it is not expected to make much more southward progress.

(2) Once the front washes out and returns northward as a warm front, a fairly tranquil weather pattern is expected mid into late week with increased low level moisture but a still fairly stable weather pattern.  

(3) Another stronger cold front is slated to move across our area by late Friday afternoon into evening hours. Given a more stable atmosphere in advance of the front, I do not expect any precipitation as the front moves through the area. Cooler and drier air will move into the area for Friday night into the first half of the weekend.

(4) After a brief return to a southerly surface wind Sunday and just beyond the seven day forecast period, another cold front is due to move across the area by Sunday night into next Monday. Rain chances look low as we look ahead. Cooler temperatures appear to follow for the first part of next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, forecasts little or no precipitation through Sunday.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Today through Sunday..
Medium to High Confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Monday / 19 October 2020

TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 69. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 87. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 69. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 88. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 69. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 87. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 69. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 86. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more southwesterly by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming clear and cooler as a cold front passes by evening. Low 59. Southwesterly winds becoming northerly 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 78. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming northeasterly by late afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 61. Light northeasterly wind becoming southeasterly by midnight.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 82. South southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph by afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 26 October 2020 through Sunday / 01 November 2020…
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Above Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (19 October)…………………………………. 7:36 am
Sunset this evening (19 October)…………………………………… 6:55 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (20 October)……………………………………… 7:37 am
Sunset tomorrow (20 October)………………………………………. 6:54 pm

Cooler Today and Tonight; Warmer over the Weekend (9am, Fr/16Oct2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 16 October 2020 ….

  
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) In the wake of yesterday afternoon’s cold front, surface high pressure has built in over our area with unseasonably cool temperatures continuing through tonight.

(2) As the axis of the surface high pressure moves eastward out of the area and we see a return southerly wind flow, we’ll see temperatures warm again tomorrow through early/mid next week as a south southeasterly surface wind flow becomes better established and we start to see a better return of low level moisture than we’ve seen lately.

(3) Another cold front is slated to move across our area just beyond the end of the current 7 day forecast period next Friday. Rain chances look low as we look ahead.  

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, forecasts little or no precipitation through Thursday.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Today through Wednesday..
Very High confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Friday / 16 October 2020

TODAY…. Partly cloudy in the morning then mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 72. Northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts mainly in the morning.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 53. Winds decreasing to light northeasterly then becoming calm.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 79. Light wind becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 88. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 84. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 82. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 62. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 83. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 62. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 83. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 23 October 2020 through Thursday / 29 October 2020…
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average    
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (16 October)…………………………………. 7:34 am
Sunset this evening (16 October)…………………………………… 6:59 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (17 October)……………………………………… 7:35 am
Sunset tomorrow (17 October)………………………………………. 6:57 pm