Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 04 November 2021

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The mid and upper low pressure disturbance has moved eastward out of the area with  a cooler, drier and more stable fall weather pattern to take hold. I expect partial clearing by later today into tonight with plenty of sunshine and below average temperatures for Friday into the weekend.

(2) As surface high pressure associated with cooler in place now moves east of us, a southeasterly surface wind will return by late Saturday into Sunday into the first part of next week with a warming trend getting underway.

(3) Early indications are that another trough, or line, of upper air low pressure will cross the central plains states by the mid into latter part of next week. A cold front will move into Texas as     the upper level trough progresses eastward through the plains with increasing clouds and perhaps some rain chances by next Thursday (just beyond the seven day forecast period).

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting no precipitation for our area over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Wednesday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 04 November 2021

TODAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool. High 59. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy and colder. Low 45. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 63. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 43. Light easterly wind early becoming calm late.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 68. Light easterly wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 47. Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm late.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 73. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49. Light wind.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 76. Southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 55. Light southeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 79. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 61. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 79. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Thursday / 11 November 2021 through Wednesday / 17 November 2021…
Temperatures… Near Average  
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (04 November)……………………………………. 7:48 am
Sunset this evening (04 November)……………………………………… 6:41 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (05 November)………………………………………… 7:48 am
Sunset tomorrow (05 November)…………………………………………. 6:40 pm

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 03 November 2021

  
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… A Lightning Threat Continues with Scattered Thunderstorms Today into Tonight …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A strong surface cold front has moved southeastward through the area. As a strong mid/upper level low pressure disturbance, producing abundant atmospheric lift, slowly moves overhead today into tonight and over runs the cooler air at the surface, we’ll see  numerous rain showers and even a few thunderstorms.

(2) As the mid and upper low pressure disturbance moves eastward out of the area by tomorrow, a cooler, drier and more stable fall weather pattern will return with partial clearing by late tomorrow into tomorrow night with plenty of sunshine and below average temperatures for Friday into the weekend.

(3) As surface high pressure moves east of us, a southeasterly surface wind will return by late Saturday into Sunday into the first part of next week with a warming trend getting underway.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.50 to 1.00 inch over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Tuesday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 03 November 2021

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy, breezy and much cooler. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.  Where rainfall occurs, given a 90%chance of rain, it will average less than 0.50 to 1.00 inch. Temperatures holding in the 50s. Northerly winds 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy, breezy and cooler with numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before midnight. Where rainfall occurs, given a 90% chance of rain, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. Low 47. Northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

THURSDAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool with a few lingering rain showers before 12 noon. Decreasing clouds by late in the afternoon. Where morning rainfall occurs, given a 30% chance of rain, rainfall will average less than 0.20 inch. High 59. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and colder. Low 44. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 63. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 43. Light easterly wind early becoming calm late.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 68. Light easterly wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 47. Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm late.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 73. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49. Light wind.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 76. Southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 55. Light southeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 79. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Wednesday / 10 November 2021 through Tuesday / 16 November 2021…
Temperatures… Near Average  
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (03 November)……………………………………. 7:47 am
Sunset this evening (03 November)……………………………………… 6:42 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (04 November)………………………………………… 7:48 am
Sunset tomorrow (04 November)…………………………………………. 6:41 pm