Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 02 November 2021
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Surface high pressure is east of the area with a south southeasterly surface wind prevailing locally.
(2) A strong surface cold front will move south southeasterly into the area by late tonight into the predawn hours tomorrow. As it moves into the area, low level moisture and instability will be increasing. In addition, a stronger mid/upper level low pressure disturbance, produced abundant atmospheric lift, will lagging behind the front a bit and will be slowly moving across the area Wednesday into Wednesday night. As a result, scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms are expected, mainly back in the cooler air that will be spilling into the area tomorrow afternoon through tomorrow night and early Thursday.
(3) A cooler, drier and more stable fall weather pattern will return with partial clearing late Thursday and continuing through the upcoming weekend with plenty of sunshine and below average temperatures.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.50 to 1.00 inch over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Monday.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 02 November 2021
TODAY…. Patchy morning low clouds and fog. Becoming mostly sunny. High 80. Light wind becoming southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. Where rainfall occurs, given a 20% chance of rain, it will average trace amounts. Low 60. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more east northeasterly after midnight as a cold front moves through the area.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy and cooler. A few sprinkles in the morning with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms developing in the midday and afternoon hours with an associated lightning threat. Where rainfall occurs, given a 50%chance of rain, it will average less than 0.25 inch. Temperatures holding in the 60s. East northeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts by midday into the afternoon hours.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy, breezy and cooler with numerous rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Where rainfall occurs, given a 80% chance of rain, rainfall will average 0.50 to 1.00 inch. Low 48. Northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.
THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy and much cooler with a few lingering rain showers before 12 noon. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Where rainfall occurs, given a 30% chance of rain, rainfall will average less than 0.05 inch. High 59. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and colder. Low 41. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 62. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 38 in outlying and low lying areas to 45 in the city. Light northeasterly wind early becoming calm late.
SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 66. Light east northeasterly wind.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 39 in outlying and low lying areas to 46 in the city. Calm wind.
SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 70. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49. Light wind.
MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 74. Southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 09 November 2021 through Monday / 15 November 2021…
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 November)……………………………………. 7:44 am
Sunset this evening (02 November)……………………………………… 6:45 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 November)………………………………………… 7:45 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 November)…………………………………………. 6:45 pm