Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 01 November 2021
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Surface high pressure has moved east of the area with a return south southeasterly surface wind.
(2) A stronger surface cold front will move south southeasterly into the area by Wednesday morning into midday. As it moves into the area, low level moisture and instability will be increasing. In addition, a stronger mid/upper level low pressure disturbance will lagging behind the front a bit and will be slowly moving across the area Wednesday into Wednesday night. As a result, scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms are expected, mainly back in the cooler air that will be spilling into the area Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night.
(3) A cooler, drier and more stable fall weather pattern will return late week through next weekend with plenty of sunshine and below average temperatures.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.50 to 0.75 inch over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Sunday.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 01 November 2021
TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 81. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 56. Light southeasterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Patchy morning fog. Mostly sunny. High 80. Light wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy. Low 60. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy and turning cooler as a cold front passes during the morning into midday hours. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly developing in the afternoon hours with an associated lightning threat. Where rainfall occurs, given a 50%chance of rain, it will average less than 0.25 inch. High in the 70s in the morning with temperatures falling into the 60s in the afternoon. South southeasterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts by midday into the afternoon hours.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy and cooler with numerous rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Where rainfall occurs, given a 70% chance of rain, rainfall will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. Low 50. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.
THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy and much cooler with a few lingering rain showers before 12 noon. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Where rainfall occurs, given a 30% chance of rain, rainfall will average less than 0.05 inch. High 59. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and colder. Low 41. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 61. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 37 in outlying and low lying areas to 43 in the city. Light northeasterly wind early becoming calm late.
SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Light east northeasterly wind.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 39 in outlying and low lying areas to 45 in the city. Calm wind.
SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 69. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 08 November 2021 through Thursday / 14 November 2021…
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01 November)……………………………………. 7:43 am
Sunset this evening (01 November)……………………………………… 6:46 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 November)………………………………………… 7:44 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 November)…………………………………………. 6:45 pm