ALL / Austin, Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update 14 – FINAL
Prepared by UT University/Incident Response Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
1125am CT – Wednsday / 17 January 2024

All NWS winter event warnings have expired as of 10am this morning.

This is my final statement on this event.

tk

 

 

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 05 December 2022

Will Not Be Updated Today…

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) South southeasterly surface winds are returning area wide with low clouds, patchy morning fog and warmer temperatures across the area through tomorrow.

(3) Manual and computer forecast guidance would suggest that clouds will break a bit by Wednesday before picking back up again for the remainder of the week pretty much through our upcoming weekend. Some rain chances will return to the forecast as a weak cold front moves just south of the area late Thursday but returns back northward as a warm front Friday and Friday night.

(3) These rain chances will linger until another cold front, more Pacific in nature, will moves eastward through the area on Sunday with some breaks in the clouds by late Sunday into Sunday night and Monday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, less than 0.05 inch over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A medium to high confidence forecast through the new week, our upcoming weekend and into Monday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 05 December 2022

TODAY…. Patchy morning fog and very light drizzle. A cloudy sky. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20%chance of precipitation, will averaeg trace amounts. High 74. South southwesterly winds increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with patchy fog developing late. Low 65. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Patchy fog early. Mostly cloudy. High 76. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with patchy fog developing late. Low 67. Light southerly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Patchy fog early. Mostly cloudy in the morning and then partly cloudy and unseasonably warm in the afternoon. High 81. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy early becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Widely scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. High 78. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers as a cold front passes before midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. Low 60. Southerly wind shifting north northeasterly 4 to 8 mph late.

FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 68. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 57. Light northeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered patches of light rain developing. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. High 71. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more southeasterly by late afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered patches of light rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. Low 59. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy in the morning into midday with scattered patches of light rain and a few rain showers as a cold front moves eastward over the area by afternoon. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy by mid into late afternoon. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05″ inch. High 67. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting west northwesterly by afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 12 December through Sunday / 18 December 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (05Dec)………………………………………… 7:13 am
Sunset this evening (05Dec)………………………………………….. 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (06Dec)…………………………………………….. 7:14 am
Sunset tomorrow (06Dec)……………………………………………… 5:30 pm