Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

More Sunshine and Heat (Fr/05Aug2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 05 August 2022

Will Not Be Updated Today…

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. Elevated Heat Indices with Above Average Temps Continuing ….
…. High Wildfire Danger Continues …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Even though it will basically remain in place, the upper level high will indeed relax its hold a little bit over our area over the next few days. Temperatures will come down a few degrees but will still stay above seasonal averages. Although the air mass will become slightly more unstable with some rain showers and thunderstorms to our distant east through southeast and south (mainly east of the IH35 corridor), I am holding off on any rain chances locally until I am more confident of this possibility.

(2) Given the on going drought conditions and the wildfires we’ve seen in recent days,
a reminder that wildfire danger is high.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting little or no rainfall over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 05 August 2022

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 104. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 12 August through Thursday / 18 August 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (05 Aug)………………………………………… 6:52 am
Sunset this evening (05 Aug)………………………………………….. 8:21 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (06 Aug)…………………………………………….. 6:53 am
Sunset tomorrow (06 Aug)……………………………………………… 8:20 pm

Little Change with High Wildfire Danger Continuing (Th/04Aug2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 04 August 2022

Will not be updated today..

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. Elevated Heat Indices with Above Average Temps Continuing ….
…. High Wildfire Danger Continues …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Upper level high pressure, anchored east-to-west to our north stretching westward from the southeastern USA into the southwestern USA, continues to act like a “lid” on the atmosphere. Even with some morning low clouds, abundant sunshine will continue through the next few days with afternoon high temperatures staying at 100 degrees or above – well above seasonal averages – with elevated heat indices.

(2) There continues to be signs that the upper level high will relax its hold over our area beginning tomorrow through our upcoming weekend. Temperatures will come down a few degrees but will still stay above seasonal averages. Although the air mass will become slightly more unstable with some rain showers and thunderstorms to our distant east through southeast and south (mainly east of the IH35 corridor), I am holding off on any rain chances locally until I am more confident of this possibility.

(3) Given the on going drought conditions and the wildfires we’ve seen in recent days,
a reminder that wildfire danger is high.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting little or no rainfall over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 04 August 2022

TODAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 105. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 102. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 10 August through Tuesday / 16 August 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (04 Aug)………………………………………… 6:51 am
Sunset this evening (04 Aug)………………………………………….. 8:22 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (05 Aug)…………………………………………….. 6:52 am
Sunset tomorrow (05 Aug)……………………………………………… 8:21 pm