Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

On and Off Again Rain and Storm Chances With Passing Disturbances; Unsettled Weather with Milder Temps and Rain Chances Lingering Through Friday with a Drier Weekend and Start of the New Week (Wednesday/28May2025)

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for metro Austin at THIS LINK.

Remember, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility
to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx .
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so it
can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually)
of all NWS Austin-San Antonio watches, advisories and warnings..  Always check
the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products since, in periods of
tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

We/28May… Lightning Threat..
Th/29May… Lightning Threat..
Fr/30May… Lightning Threat..
Sa/31May… Lightning Threat..
Su/01Jun… No Weather Hazards Expected..
Mo/02Jun… No Weather Hazards Expected..
Tu/03Jun… No Weather Hazards Expected..

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) In the wake of our Memorial Day storms, several upper level low pressure disturbances will pass overhead with a weak cold front passing. A little milder air will move into the area with another upper level disturbance slated to move west to east overhead resulting in continued rain and storm chances through Friday before a drier and more stable pattern arrives Saturday and Sunday into early next week.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, my forecast is for 1.00 to 1.75 inches of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties through the 7 day forecast period which ends in the early morning hours next Wednesday.

MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through much of the seven day period ahead.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Wednesday / 28 May 2025

TODAY (28May)…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. Highs in the low to mid 80s. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 8pm. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low in the upper 60s to near 70. Light easterly wind.

THURSDAY (29May)…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. Highs in the upper 80s. Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 10pm. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Lows in the upper 60s. Light south southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY (30May)…. Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Light northeasterly wind becoming calm.

SATURDAY (31May)…. Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s to near 70. Light easterly wind.

SUNDAY (01Jun)…. Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs around 90. South southeasterly wind increasing to 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low in the lower 70s. Light south southeasterly wind.

MONDAY (02Jun)…. Mostly sunny. High in the low to middle 90s. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low in the low 70s. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY (03Jun)…. Partly cloudy. High in the low to mid 90s. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 03 May 2025 through Monday / 09 June 2025
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday/23May2025)
Valid Saturday / 07 June 2025 through Friday / 20 June 2025
Temperatures… Better Chances of Being Near Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (We/28May)…………………………………. 6:31 am / 8:26 pm (+ 1 minutes)
Tomorrow (Th/29May)……………………………. 6:30 am / 8:27 pm (+ 2 minutes)

tk

 

All Winter Weather Threats Have Ended (1125am CT, We/17Jan2024 Update)

ALL / Austin, Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update 14 – FINAL
Prepared by UT University/Incident Response Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
1125am CT – Wednsday / 17 January 2024


All NWS winter event warnings have expired as of 10am this morning.

This is my final statement on this event.

tk