Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

A Dry and Stable Summer Weather Pattern Continues (Fr/18Jul2025)

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Remember, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility
to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx .
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so it
can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually)
of all NWS Austin-San Antonio watches, advisories and warnings..  Always check
the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products since, in periods of
tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Fr/18 Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..

Sa/19Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..

Su/20Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..

Mo/21Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..

Tu/22Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..

We/23Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..

Th/24Jul…
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress ..

 

7-DAY TEXAS TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK…

The last update has been issued regarding the low pressure area over the north central Gulf. The system has moved onshore into southeastern Louisiana with the system moving northwestward. I do not expect to see any weather effects from this system this far west.

No other tropical systems are anticipated to affect the Texas coast over the next seven days.

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable summertime weather pattern continues with sunshine and seasonal temperatures through the seven day forecast period. No precipitation is forecast.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, my forecast is for no rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day forecast period which ends in the early evening hours next Friday.

MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the next seven days.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Friday / 18 July 2025

FRIDAY (18Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the low to mid 90s with maximum afternoon heat index values of 99 F.
Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear early then partly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (19Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the low to mid 90s with afternoon heat index values of 100 F.
Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear early then partly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (20Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid with afternoon heat index values of 100 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear early then partly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY (21Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid to upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 101 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear early then partly cloudy.
Lows in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY (22Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid to upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 101 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear early then partly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY (23Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid to upper 90s with afternoon heat index values of 101 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear early then partly cloudy.
Lows in the low to mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY (17Jul)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid to upper 90s with maximum afternoon heat index values of 101 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 25 July 2025 through Thursday / 31 July 2025
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 11 July 2025)
Valid Saturday / 26 July 2025 through Friday / 01 August 2025
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Below Normal

tk

 

All Winter Weather Threats Have Ended (1125am CT, We/17Jan2024 Update)

ALL / Austin, Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update 14 – FINAL
Prepared by UT University/Incident Response Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
1125am CT – Wednsday / 17 January 2024


All NWS winter event warnings have expired as of 10am this morning.

This is my final statement on this event.

tk