Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

How About Some Sunshine for a Change? (10a, Mo/25Jan2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 25 January 2021

  
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Risks Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A drier and more stable weather pattern will return in the wake of the passing upper air low pressure system and surface cold front that moved through around daybreak this morning.

(2) The next upper level low and associated cold front is due, based on current guidance, by Wednesday with little in the way of sensible weather as it passes other than cooler temperatures.

(3) The third weather upper level low pressure storm system and surface cold front will pass by late Saturday into Sunday with increased cloud cover and perhaps low rain chances.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting less than 0.25″ for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Saturday..
Medium Confidence Saturday Night into Sunday..

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 25 January 2021

TODAY…. Becoming mostly sunny. Less humid. High 73. West northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 46. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming light northwesterly late.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 74. Light wind becoming more southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear as a cold front passes after midnight. Low 48. Light east southeasterly wind becoming northwesterly after midnight.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine and cooler. High 60. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph and gusty.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and colder. Low 34. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 60. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more east southeasterly by afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 40. Light south southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 67. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 53. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy as a cold front passes in the afternoon. High 74. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming north northwesterly in the afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 45. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 70. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 01 February 2021 through Sunday / 07 February 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (25 January)…………………………………. 7:25 am
Sunset this evening (25 January)…………………………………… 6:02 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (26 January)……………………………………… 7:25 am
Sunset tomorrow (26 January)………………………………………. 6:03 pm

Finally… Some Sunshine! Don’t Blink, Though, Another Storm on the Way (9a, Fr/22Jan2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 22 January 2021

  
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Risks Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) As an upper air low pressure disturbance passes over the area late yesterday into the overnight hours, a relatively weak cold front moves southward through the area today with clouds breaking as drier and more stable temporarily becomes established overhead.

(2) Another upper air low pressure disturbance will cross the area by late Saturday into Sunday with clouds increasing by tonight into tomorrow and rain chances and even a few thunderstorms possible especially Sunday into the overnight hours Sunday night.

(3) A drier and more stable weather pattern will return (yes, some sunshine!!) for the first part of next week.

(4) The next stronger upper level low and associated cold front is due, based on current guidance, by late next Wednesday with increased clouds and renewed slim rain chances.

(5) Skies will clear, once again, in the wake of the mid week system for next Thursday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting around 0.25″ for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Thursday..

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 22 January 2021

TODAY…. Partly cloudy this morning. In the wake of a midday cold front, mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 74. Light wind becoming northerly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Patchy fog developing after midnight. Low 53. Light northerly wind.

SATURDAY…. Patchy morning fog. Cloudy with scattered rain showers developing after 12 noon. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 67. Light north northeasterly wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. Patchy drizzle. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. Low 60. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms in the afternoon with an associated lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes after midnight. Diminishing rain chances and decreasing clouds after midnight. Before midnight, a 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 54. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph shifting west northwesterly after midnight.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy through 9am then becoming mostly sunny. Less humid. High 70. Northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 43. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming light northerly late.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 68. Light wind becoming more easterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47. Light east southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers as a weak cold front passes. Becoming mostly sunny by mid and late afternoon. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.10″.High 67. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming northwesterly 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 40. Northwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 29 January 2021 through Thursday / 04 February 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 January)…………………………………. 7:26 am
Sunset this evening (22 January)…………………………………… 5:59 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (23 January)……………………………………… 7:26 am
Sunset tomorrow (23 January)………………………………………. 6:00 pm