Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Warmer Temperatures But Clouds Persist; Much Better Rain Chances Late in the Weekend (9am, Th/21Jan2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 21 January 2021

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Risks Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A warm front is continuing to lifting northward through the area with even clouds breaking a bit along the IH35 corridor early this morning as that occurs. Even so, clouds will still generally hold with slim rain chances. As yet another upper air low pressure disturbance crosses the area tonight, another cold front sweeps southeastward through the area by tomorrow with clouds breaking a bit as drier and more stable temporarily becomes established overhead.

(2) Another upper air low pressure disturbance will cross the area by late Saturday into Sunday with clouds and rain chances and even a few thunderstorms possible.

(3) A drier and more stable weather pattern will return (yes, some sunshine!!) for the first part of next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting around 0.25″ for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Friday..
Medium to High Confidence Friday night through Wednesday..

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 21 January 2021

TODAY…. Patchy morning fog otherwise partly to mostly cloudy and warmer with scattered rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 69. Southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a scattered rain showers. Patchy fog late. A 40%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.10″or less. Low 56. Southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light west.

FRIDAY…. Patchy fog and low clouds early with a few rain showers before 9am. A 20%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.05″or less.  Becoming partly cloudy. High 72. Light wind becoming north northwesterly 4 to 8 mph early in the morning.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 53. Light north northeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon with widely scattered rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.05″ or less. High 68. Light northeasterly wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. Low 59. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. High 76. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. Low 60. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Scattered rain showers before noon. Decreasing clouds becoming mostly sunny and less humid by afternoon. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 71. Light southerly wind early becoming west northwesterly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 43. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 66. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47. Light northerly wind becoming light and variable.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 68. Light and variable wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Thursday / 28 January 2021 through Wednesday / 03 February 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (21 January)…………………………………. 7:27 am
Sunset this evening (21 January)…………………………………… 5:58 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (22 January)……………………………………… 7:26 am
Sunset tomorrow (22 January)………………………………………. 5:59 pm