Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 22 January 2021

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Risks Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) As an upper air low pressure disturbance passes over the area late yesterday into the overnight hours, a relatively weak cold front moves southward through the area today with clouds breaking as drier and more stable temporarily becomes established overhead.

(2) Another upper air low pressure disturbance will cross the area by late Saturday into Sunday with clouds increasing by tonight into tomorrow and rain chances and even a few thunderstorms possible especially Sunday into the overnight hours Sunday night.

(3) A drier and more stable weather pattern will return (yes, some sunshine!!) for the first part of next week.

(4) The next stronger upper level low and associated cold front is due, based on current guidance, by late next Wednesday with increased clouds and renewed slim rain chances.

(5) Skies will clear, once again, in the wake of the mid week system for next Thursday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting around 0.25″ for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Thursday..

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 22 January 2021

TODAY…. Partly cloudy this morning. In the wake of a midday cold front, mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 74. Light wind becoming northerly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Patchy fog developing after midnight. Low 53. Light northerly wind.

SATURDAY…. Patchy morning fog. Cloudy with scattered rain showers developing after 12 noon. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 67. Light north northeasterly wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. Patchy drizzle. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. Low 60. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms in the afternoon with an associated lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes after midnight. Diminishing rain chances and decreasing clouds after midnight. Before midnight, a 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 54. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph shifting west northwesterly after midnight.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy through 9am then becoming mostly sunny. Less humid. High 70. Northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 43. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming light northerly late.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 68. Light wind becoming more easterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47. Light east southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers as a weak cold front passes. Becoming mostly sunny by mid and late afternoon. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.10″.High 67. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming northwesterly 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 40. Northwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 29 January 2021 through Thursday / 04 February 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 January)…………………………………. 7:26 am
Sunset this evening (22 January)…………………………………… 5:59 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (23 January)……………………………………… 7:26 am
Sunset tomorrow (23 January)………………………………………. 6:00 pm