Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 19 January 2021
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… A Lightning Risk with any Afternoon/Evening Thunderstorms …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) A slow moving upper air low pressure disturbance and southeastward moving cold front is triggering the development of a slow moving surface low that will move eastward into south Texas and then east northeastward along the Texas coast. As a result, as the cooler air surface based moves in today, we’ll see enhanced overrunning clouds and rain chances over our area that will continue over the next couple of days.
(2) Another upper air low pressure disturbance will cross the area by Thursday into Thursday night with a warm front lifting northward into the area before another cold front sweeps southeastward through the area with rain chances continuing on and off.
(3) A third upper air low pressure disturbance will cross the area by Sunday into Monday with clouds and rain chances continuing on and off.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting 0.50 to 1.50″ for the IH35 corridor.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Thursday..
Medium Confidence Thursday night through Monday..
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 19 January 2021
TODAY…. Cloudy with rain showers likely and isolated thunderstorms by late in the day with an associated lightning threat as a cold front moves through the area midday. A 60%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″ to 0.50″. High 67. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
TONIGHT…. Cloudy and cooler with scattered rain showers. A 50%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″ or less. Low 47. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 57. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Patchy fog developing after midnight. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. Low 53. Light wind becoming light south southwesterly.
THURSDAY…. Patchy morning fog otherwise partly to mostly cloudy and warmer with a few rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 69. Southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly after midnight. A 40%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″or less. Low 59. South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before noon as a weak cold front passes. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. A 30%chance of rain in the morning; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″or less. High 72. Light wind becoming west northwesterly 4 to 8 mph by midday.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 54. Light northerly wind.
SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers mainly after noon. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 65. Light east northeasterly wind.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.05″ or less. Low 56. Light wind.
SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 72. Light southerly wind.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. Low 60. Light southerly wind.
MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 73. Light southerly wind.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 26 January 2021 through Monday / 01 February 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (19 January)…………………………………. 7:27 am
Sunset this evening (19 January)…………………………………… 5:57 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (20 January)……………………………………… 7:27 am
Sunset tomorrow (20 January)………………………………………. 5:57 pm