Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Sunshine Returns Along with Warmer Temperatures.. Another Cold Front Friday Night (We/12Jan2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 12 January 2022
       
Not Updated Today…
  
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) With the passage to the east of the upper level low, clouds, as predicted, broke this morning as surface low pressure develops over west Texas with a corresponding return south southeasterly surface wind by tonight into tomorrow. Temperatures will be warming to above seasonal averages.

(2) Another cold front will move quickly through the area late Friday night with increased clouds but, at this point, I am not confident enough in the guidance to include any rain in my forecast.

(3) Skies will partially clear with temperatures falling back to below seasonal averages for our weekend into next week. Another weaker cold front is expected to pass by early Monday; basically, it will reinforce the cooler air mass. Temperatures will warm a few degrees by mid week before yet another cold front passes through the area.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting little if any rainfall for our area over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Very High Confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 12 January 2022

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. High 65. Light wind becoming southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 40. Light wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny and warmer. High 72. Light wind becoming light southwesterly.  

THURSDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 44. Light southwesterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 74. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy as a cold front passes by midnight. Low 45. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny, breezy and cooler. High 57. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 33. Northerly wind decreasing and becoming northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 57. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 35. Light northeasterly wind becoming more northerly after midnight.

MONDAY /MLK DAY/…. Mostly sunny. High 63. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 38. Light northeasterly wind.

TUESDAY….  Mostly sunny. High 69. Light easterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Wednesday / 19 January 2022 through Tuesday / 25 January 2022
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (12 January)……………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (12 January)……………………………………… 5:51 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (13 January)………………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (13 January)…………………………………………. 5:51 pm

Clouds with A Few Sprinkles Today as an Upper Air Low Pressure Disturbance Passes (Tu/11Jan2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 11 January 2022
       

   
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A passing upper air low pressure disturbance has increased mid level cloud cover today but, at this time, only a few sprinkles are expected. A few ice pellets have been reported to be mixed in with the sprinkles over the hill country; this may continue in areas mainly to our west through midday and early afternoon. Because of the cloud cover, afternoon high temperatures will be well below seasonal averages.

(2) With the passage to the east of the upper level low, clouds are expected to break by tomorrow into late week as surface low pressure develops over west Texas with a corresponding return south southeasterly surface wind. Temperatures will be warming to above seasonal averages.

(3) Another cold front will move quickly through the area late Friday night with increased clouds but, at this point, I am not confident enough in the guidance to include any rain in my forecast.

(4) Skies will partially clear with temperatures falling back to below seasonal averages for our weekend into next week. Another weaker cold front is expected to pass by early Monday; basically, it will reinforce the cooler air mass already in place.  

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, other than a few sprinkles expected today, is predicting no rainfall for our area over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 11 January 2022

TODAY…. Cloudy with a few light sprinkles. Rainfall, given a less than 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. High 50. Light east northeasterly wind.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 41. Light wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. High 65. Light wind becoming southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 40. Light wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny and warmer. High 72. Light wind becoming light southwesterly.  

THURSDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 44. Light southwesterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 74. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy as a cold front passes by midnight. Low 45. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny, breezy and cooler. High 57. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 35. Northerly wind decreasing and becoming northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 59. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 38. Light northeasterly wind becoming more northerly after midnight.

MONDAY /MLK DAY/…. Mostly sunny. High 60. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Tuesday / 18 January 2022 through Monday / 24 January 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 January)……………………………………. 7:29 am
Sunset this evening (11 January)……………………………………… 5:50 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12 January)………………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (12 January)…………………………………………. 5:51 pm