TK’s Austin & South Central Texas Forecast (Mon/9Jul2012)

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Updated 130pm CDT.. Monday / 9 July 2012

TODAY…. Variable clouds with a 50% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 90 to 94. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.. gusty around any thunderstorms. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

TONIGHT…. Variable clouds with a 40% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 72 to 76. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph… gusty around any thunderstorms. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

TUESDAY…. Variable clouds with a 60% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 88 to 92. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.. gusty around any thunderstorms. Rainfall will average 1/2 to 3/4 inch.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Variable clouds with a 50% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 72 to 76. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph… gusty around any thunderstorms. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch.

WEDNESDAY…. Variable clouds with a 50% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 88 to 92.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Variable clouds with a 40% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 73 to 77.

THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.  High 90 to 94.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. A 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy early.. then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 73 to 77.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.  High 90 to 94.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Isolated evening thunderstorms.. otherwise partly cloudy early.. then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 73 to 77.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.  High 91 to 95.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Isolated evening thunderstorms.. otherwise partly cloudy early.. then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 73 to 77.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.  High 92 to 96.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 16 July 2012  through Sunday / 22 July 2012…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (9 July)………………. 6:36 am
Sunset this evening (9 July)……………….. 8:36 pm
Sunrise Tuesday (10 July)………………….. 6:37 am
Sunset Tuesday (10 July)…………………… 8:36 pm

….AUSTIN AREA POLLEN COUNT….
…RECORDED MONDAY / 2 JULY 2012…
(Note: This is the most recent report that has been provided.
This count is updated as provided on weekdays only and is
courtesy of Austin Allergy Associates and Dr. T. Ray Vaughn
and Dr. P. Dennis Dyer)

Molds….. 2220 gr/cubic meter (High) – Down Since Last Reading
Grasses….. 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
Weeds…… 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Weeds:
…None Reported …
Trees…… 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Trees:
…None Reported…

TK’s Weather Discussion (Mon/9Jul2012)

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Updated 130pm CDT Monday / 9 July 2012

…. A Continued Unstable Air Mass and Better Rain Chances through Mid Week ….
…. Beneficial Rains Likely for Parts of Our Area with 1 to 2 Inches Possible ….

On this Monday… a surface high pressure area is located over the southeastern USA  and the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. A cold front extends southwestward from southwestern Missouri into a surface low pressure area over Oklahoma and then continuing southwestward into west Texas. As a result of this pressure pattern, a southerly surface wind is prevailing across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, the upper high pressure ridge, acting like a lid on the atmosphere, continues broadly to the north of the area with upper level low pressure area from the lower Mississippi Valley westward into east Texas. As a result of the upper air wind flow, the upper level winds are light northerly over our area.

A moist tropical and unstable air mass continues across the area. I will continue the good rain chances through mid week as the weak cold front to our northwest is forecast to move southeastward further into Texas and weaken. This will only increase the atmospheric lift in the moist tropical unstable air mass.

Computer guidance has consistent in the forecast rainfall amounts for this event with beneficial rainfall possible (certainly more than we might expect in the summer months). At this point, official NWS forecast rainfall amounts are in the 1 to 2 inch range for south central Texas between now and Friday.

Partial clearing.. lower rain chances and warmer temperatures are expected once again my late week into next weekend.

For Austin and south central Texas… tonight will see variable clouds with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with lows in the 70s. Southerly wind. For tomorrow, variable clouds with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with highs in the 90s. Southerly wind.

Have a good Monday night and Tuesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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