TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Forecast….

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Updated 845am CDT.. Monday / 7 October 2013

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 80 to 84. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT….. A clear sky. Low 51 to 55. Light north northeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 83 to 87. Light northeasterly wind becoming southeasterly 5 to 10 mph by late afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 54 to 58. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 84 to 88. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early becoming partly cloudy as low clouds develop after midnight. Low 59 to 63. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 85 to 89. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds after midnight. Low 65 to 69. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 84 to 88. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT….  Partly cloudy early.. low clouds after 11pm. Low 67 to 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.. where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 84 to 88. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.. where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 69 to 73. Southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.. where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 84 to 88. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 14 October 2013  through Sunday / 20 October 2013…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (7 October)………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (7 October)……………………………….. 7:09 pm
Sunrise Tuesday (8 October)…………………………………… 7:29 am
Sunset Tuesday (8 October)……………………………………. 7:08 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

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Updated 845am CDT Monday / 7 October 2013

…. A Stable Dry Weather Pattern ….
…. Another Cold Front Approaches by Next Weekend with a Chance of Rain ….

On this Monday morning…. a high pressure area is over the Rockies and the western plains states. A cold front.. the one that passed the local area on Saturday afternoon.. extends southward from Pennsylvania into Georgia and northwest Florida into the Gulf of Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, surface winds are north northwesterly over our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a deep upper level low pressure trough extends southward from the Great Lakes states into the Ohio Valley. Another low pressure trough is over the Pacific Northwest. A ridge of upper level high pressure is over western Mexico and the southwestern USA. As a result, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are northwesterly 15 to 25 mph.

In the wake of Saturday’s cold front… a dry and stable weather pattern continues across the area.

By later tonight into tomorrow.. the surface high pressure area.. over the western plains.. will shift eastward allowing for our surface winds to return to the south and southeast. Low level moisture will begin to return to the area with a more moist weather pattern with a return to a partly cloudy sky and some late night and early morning low cloudiness for the middle and latter part of the week into the weekend.

Another low pressure area and cold front will move into Texas by Saturday and Saturday night. Latest guidance, however, is delaying the progress of the front until early next week as a second front moves out of the Rockies. Even so, the atmosphere will grow more unstable with the approach of this first front and I will keep rain chances beginning Saturday and continuing Sunday and maybe into the early part of next week until the second front clears the area.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: Very high forecast confidence through Friday.. then medium confidence for the weekend into early next week as it regards the fronts over the southern plains and any associated rain chances.

Have a good Monday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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