Rain/Thunderstorm Chances Today But Clearing Later This Afternoon (9a, We/06Jan2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 06 January 2021 ….

  
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@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A passing upper air low pressure disturbance and associated surface cold front will pass overhead today. As the system passes overhead, we’ll see scattered rain showers as the atmospheric lift peaks.

(2) Clouds break again by this afternoon as the front passes with abundant sunshine expected late week into the early weekend.

(3) A second, potentially stronger, upper air low pressure will move through Texas by late Saturday night into Sunday and Sunday night with increased clouds and precipitation changes along with colder than average temperatures expected.

(4) Skies will clear, in the wake of the system, late Sunday night into the early part of next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting 0.50″ to 1.00″ for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High Confidence through Saturday.. Low to Medium Confidence on Sunday into Monday

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 06 January 2020

TODAY…. Patchy morning drizzle and fog. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat in the morning into midday as a cold front passes. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average .25″ or less. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 65. Light southerly wind shifting north northwesterly 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 40. North northwesterly wind 10 to 20 mph and gusty.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 60. North northwesterly wind 8 to 18 mph with higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 35. Light northerly wind.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 57. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. High 35. Light northeasterly wind becoming calm.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 56. Calm wind becoming light east northeasterly.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than .05″. Low 36. Light easterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy and unseasonably cold with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. High 42. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with patchy light rain before 10pm. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Decreasing clouds after midnight. Low 30. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy in the morning becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 52. Light northeasterly wind.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 32. Light east northeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 57. Light and variable wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Wednesday / 13 January 2021 through Tuesday / 19 January 2021…
Temperatures… Below Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (05 January)…………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (05 January)…………………………………… 5:45 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (06 January)……………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (06 January)………………………………………. 5:46 pm

Another Day of Sunshine.. Rain Chances Tomorrow (9a, Tu/05Jan2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 05 January 2021 ….

  
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable weather pattern continues with abundant sunshine prevailing.

(2) A passing upper air low pressure disturbance and associated surface cold front will pass overhead tomorrow morning with clouds picking up in advance of the system by tonight. As the system passes overhead tomorrow morning, we’ll see scattered rain showers as the atmospheric lift peaks.

(3) Clouds break again by tomorrow afternoon as the system passes with abundant sunshine expected late week into the early weekend.

(4) A second, potentially stronger, upper air low pressure will move through Texas by late Saturday night into Sunday and early next week with increased clouds and precipitation changes along with cooler than average temperatures expected.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting 0.50″ to 1.00″ for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High Confidence through Saturday.. Low to Medium Confidence on Sunday into Monday

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 05 January 2020

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 69. Light north wind becoming light south southeasterly in the afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Patchy fog and drizzle developing after midnight. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 54. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Patchy morning drizzle and fog. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat in the morning into midday as a cold front passes. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average .25″ or less. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 65. Light southerly wind shifting north northwesterly 10 to 20 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 40. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph early with winds diminishing late.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 61. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 35. Light northerly wind.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 58. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. High 38. Light east northeasterly wind becoming calm.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 56. Calm wind becoming light easterly.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than .05″. Low 39. Light wind becoming northerly 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy and unseasonably cool with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50″. High 48. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 36. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Becoming partly cloudy. High 51. Light northeasterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Tuesday / 12 January 2021 through Monday / 18 January 2021…
Temperatures… Below Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (05 January)…………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (05 January)…………………………………… 5:45 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (06 January)……………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (06 January)………………………………………. 5:46 pm

*** As I take a break for the holidays, I will not update here until Monday / 04 January 2021. …

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