Troy Kimmel Weather - Page 603 - Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Weather Discussion….

December 23, 2013 by troyk

Updated 845am CT Monday / 23 December 2013

…. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern ….
…. Passing Upper Air Storm System with a Few Sprinkles Christmas Day ….
…. Dry Weather Pattern Late Week through the Weekend ….

On this Monday morning…. a surface high pressure area extends south southeastward from the Dakotas to over Missouri then south southwestward over Texas. A low pressure trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southward from southeastern Colorado and southwestern Kansas into New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, surface winds are light northeasterly across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a deep upper level low pressure trough is over the central USA. As a result, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are west southwesterly at 65 to 75 mph.

A dry and stable weather pattern continues as we start the Christmas holiday week. Surface high pressure.. overhead now.. will move eastward and return a south southeasterly surface wind as early as tomorrow.

Another upper level low pressure will sweep eastward across Texas on Christmas Day but the atmosphere overhead will be moisture starved so we’ll increase cloud cover but only a few sprinkles are expected. With the passage of the system, clouds will break early Thursday.

Another extended period of dry and stable weather.. with near to slightly below average temperatures.. is expected for the latter part of the week through the weekend.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My confidence in my forecast is very high through tomorrow and tomorrow night. For Christmas Day, my forecast confidence falls high (whether or not rain occurs). My forecast confidence returns to very high for Thursday through the weekend.

Have a good Monday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

TK’s Special Briefing….

December 21, 2013 by troyk

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If you have a smart phone (iPhone, Android), I strongly recommend the use of the MyWarn App.. which operates in the background of your phone to let you know when there’s a general “heads up” risk of severe thunderstorms and/or tornadoes (day 1 and day 2 outlooks from the NWS/Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK). As the risk becomes more immediate and tornado and severe thunderstorm watches from the NWS/Storm Prediction Center and flash flood watches from the NWS/Austin-San Antonio become necessary, you’ll be notified. Finally, when the weather becomes an imminent and urgent threat to life and to property and tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings are issued from the NWS/Austin-San Antonio, you’ll be the first to know through this app whether you’re at your home or on the road in the USA. The GPS location feature of your phone tells the app where you are and you’re notified immediately whether you’re in Austin or Chicago. All the details can be found here.

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Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #3 – FINAL UPDATE
Prepared by Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel (www.troykimmelweather.com)
315pm CT – Saturday / 21 December 2013

.. Skies Clearing Across the IH35 Corridor ..

The upper air low pressure area continues to move northeastward across the Texas south plains
as drier and more stable air settles south southeastward across our IH35 corridor counties.

As skies clear, the threat of precipitation has ended.

This is my last statement regarding this weather event.

Have a great remainder of your weekend… a Merry Christmas and to all, happy holidays.