TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Waether Forecast….

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Updated 845am CT.. Tuesday / 11 November 2014

TODAY…. Partly cloudy in the morning then mostly sunny in the afternoon. Turning windy and colder as a cold front passes by 9am. Temperatures slowly falling through the remainder of the day. Northerly winds 15 to 25 mph and gusty.

TONIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 37. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph slowly diminishing during the night.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 49. North northeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 34. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 49. Light northeasterly wind.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 32. Light wind.

FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy through the morning.. thickening clouds by afternoon. High 51. Easterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles possible. Low 39. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with patchy light rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 1/10th of an inch. High 52. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with patchy light rain. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 1/10th of an inch. Low 42. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 56. East southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and turning colder as a cold front passes. Low 37. Southeasterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 18 mph as the front passes.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 52. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 18 November 2014 through Monday / 24 November 2014…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 November)…………………………………………… 6:53 am
Sunset this evening (11 November)……………………………………………. 5:36 pm
Sunrise Wednesday (12 November)…………………………………………… 6:54 am
Sunset Wednesday (12 November)…………………………………………… 5:36 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

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Updated 800am CT – Tuesday / 11 November 2014

…. The Strong Cold Front Has Passed ….
…. Modified Colder Arctic Air Takes Hold on Texas Through the 7 Day Forecast ….
…. Overrunning Clouds and Rain Return Late Week into the Weekend ….

On this Tuesday morning…. a strong cold front is moving southeastward from southeastern Missouri through central Arkansas into east Texas then inland along the Texas coast then west northwestward into southwest Texas and northern Mexico. High pressure.. behind the front.. is building into Texas from western Canada. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are gusty northerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a massive area of upper level low pressure area is over the northern USA and over southern Hudson Bay. As a result, our upper winds at 18,500 feet are westerly 25 to 35 mph.

As the upper level low pressure area over the northern USA, the strong arctic cold front has surged southeastward through Texas with much colder air.. unseasonably cold for this early in the season.. taking hold in the state.

This advancing air mass will be cold enough.. under a mostly clear to partly cloudy sky.. that we will see the possibility of some freezing temperatures in outlying and low lying areas for the next few nights.

By late Friday into the weekend, gulf moisture will start to “overrun” the colder surface based air with clouds thickening and lowering. We’ll start a few sprinkles across the area by Friday night with light rain chances increasing Saturday into early Sunday. Temperatures will remain above critical levels so I just expect a cold light rain across the area.

Another reinforcing cold front, with another dose of modified arctic air, will move across the area by early Sunday morning with below average temperatures continuing into the new week. Skies will be partially clearing in the wake of the Sunday front.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is high to very through the next seven day period.

Have a good Tuesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

TK’s Weather Briefing….

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Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #2 Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel 755am CT …

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