Humidity on the Increase with Chance Rain/Storms Over Next Few Days (Mo/11Apr2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 11 April 2022

 

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Hazards Expected ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A developing low pressure area and cold front over the Rockies has returned a return south southeasterly wind flow continuing with increased cloud cover. As the system gets closer, we’ll see a few sprinkles and rain showers late tonight and then rain and thunderstorms beginning by afternoon tomorrow and tomorrow night into Wednesday morning before the a cold front passes east-to-east through the area by Wednesday. Based on NWS/Storm Prediction Center guidance, a few of the storms may be severe but mainly in areas north of Austin.

(2) Skies on Wednesday will clear as drier air moves in with somewhat cooler temperatures prevailing for Thursday and Friday in the wake of the front.

(3) A southerly wind returns with increased low level moisture and warming temperatures for the Easter weekend.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting less than 0.25 inch over the area over the next seven day period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 11 April 2022

TODAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles or rain showers after midnight. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall should average less than 0.10 inch. Low 70. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall should average less than 0.25 inch. High 89. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall should average less than 0.25 inch. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 11am. Becoming mostly sunny, unseasonably warm and less humid as a weak cold front moves through the area by midday. Given a 30% chance of rain before 11am at any given location, rainfall should average less than 0.25 inch. High 92. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts with winds shifting northwesterly afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear and cooler. Low 55. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 86. Light northeasterly wind becoming easterly 4 to 7 mph by afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 60. Light east southeasterly wind becoming more southeasterly after midnight.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 86. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy and unseasonably warm. High 92. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY /EASTER/…. Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy and unseasonably warm. High 92. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph. (Austin sunrise 7:01am)

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 18 April 2022 through Sunday / 24 April 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 April)………………………………………….. 7:08 am
Sunset this evening (11 April)……………………………………………. 7:56 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12 April)………………………………………………. 7:07 am
Sunset tomorrow (12 April)……………………………………………….. 7:57 pm

A Great Outdoor Weekend.. Rain/Storm Chances Returning Next Week (Fr/08Apr2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 08 April 2022

 

Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. Even With Lighter Winds, High Wildfire Danger Continues ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Skies will continue mostly clear today through our upcoming weekend. Temperatures will be warming up through the weekend.

(2) A developing low pressure area and cold front over the Rockies will result in a return south southeasterly wind flow beginning Saturday and continuing into next week with increased cloud cover Sunday and beyond. I will continue rain chances beginning late Monday into Tuesday before the a cold front passes est-to-east through the area by afternoon Wednesday.

(3) Clearing skies along with drier air and cooler temperatures will prevail for the latter part of next week in the wake of the front.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting less than 0.25 inch over the area over the next seven day period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 08 April 2022

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 81. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 46. Northwesterly wind becoming light and variable.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 87. Light wind becoming south southwesterly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 60. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 87. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. High 87. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after midnight. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall should average less than 0.10 inch. Low 68. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall should average less than 0.10 inch. High 89. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall should average less than 0.10 inch. Low 69. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy as a cold front moves through the area by midday. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall should average less than 0.25 inch. High 90. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts with winds shifting northwesterly by late afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clearing and cooler. Low 54. Northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. Cooler and less humid. High 80. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 15 April 2022 through Thursday / 21 April 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (08 April)………………………………………….. 7:12 am
Sunset this evening (08 April)……………………………………………. 7:54 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (09 April)………………………………………………. 7:10 am
Sunset tomorrow (09 April)……………………………………………….. 7:55 pm