Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Some Clouds Today But Otherwise a Dry Weather Pattern (10a/Tu 12Jan2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 12 January 2021

  
Contact me:
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@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Even with some clouds passing overhead or just southeast of the area today, I expect sunshine in general over the next few days with below average temperatures for today with a pretty good warmup tomorrow into Thursday with temperatures back above seasonal averages.

(2) A dry, but stronger, cold front will move southward through the area by Thursday evening with temperatures falling back to seasonal averages late week into the weekend.

(3) Another upper level low pressure disturbance and associated surface cold front will move southeastward across the area Sunday into Monday with rain chances expected.  

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting 0.25″ for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Very High Confidence through Saturday..
Low to Medium Confidence Sunday and Monday..

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday Morning / 12 January 2021

TODAY…. Becoming partly cloudy. High 50. Light wind becoming southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy this evening then becoming clear. Low 33. Light southwesterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 62. Southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 39. Light southwesterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 69. Southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and breezy as a cold front passes in the evening. Low 38. Southwesterly wind shifting north northwesterly 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY…. Sunny. High 58. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 34. Northerly wind diminishing to 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Sunny. High 63. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 40. Light east southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles or rain showers possible as a cold front moves through the area by afternoon. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than .10″. High 58. East southeasterly wind shifting northwesterly 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 41. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY /MLK DAY/…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles or rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average .05″ or less. High 60. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Tuesday / 19 January 2021 through Monday / 25 January 2021…
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average    
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (12 January)…………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (12 January)…………………………………… 5:51 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (13 January)……………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (13 January)………………………………………. 5:51 pm

A Dry But Chilly Start to the New Week Following Our Sunday Winter Storm (9a, Mo/11Jan2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 11 January 2021

  
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Skies are clearing in the wake of the Sunday winter storm system. I expect sunshine over the next few days with below average temperatures with a pretty good warmup for Wednesday into Thursday with temperatures back above seasonal averages.

(2) A dry, but stronger, cold front will move southward through the area by Thursday evening with temperatures falling back to seasonal averages late week into the weekend.

(3) Another upper level low pressure disturbance and associated surface cold front will move southeastward across the area Sunday into Monday with slim rain chances expected.  

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting only trace (non-measurable) precipitation amounts for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Very High Confidence through Saturday..
Low to Medium Confidence Sunday..

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday Morning / 11 January 2021

TODAY…. Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. High 46. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 29. North northwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light northerly.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 53. Light wind.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 33. Light wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 60. Light wind becoming southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 39. Light southwesterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 69. Southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and breezy as a cold front passes in the evening. Low 40. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY…. Sunny. High 59. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with sone higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 34. Northerly wind diminishing to 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Sunny. High 63. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 42. Light east southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles possible as a cold front moves through the area by afternoon. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 59. East southeasterly wind shifting northwesterly 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 18 January 2021 through Sunday / 24 January 2021…
Temperatures… Near Average    
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 January)…………………………………. 7:29 am
Sunset this evening (11 January)…………………………………… 5:50 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12 January)……………………………………… 7:29 am
Sunset tomorrow (12 January)………………………………………. 5:51 pm