Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Clouds and A Chance of Rain Late Week into the Weekend (11a, We/09Dec2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 09 December 2020 ….

  
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable air mass continues over Texas. With abundant sunshine, temperatures will warm to above seasonal averages through tomorrow.

(2) Moisture will be on the increase by late tomorrow ahead of an approaching upper level low pressure disturbance and associated surface cold front that is due to cross the IH35 corridor by late Friday. Scattered rain showers are possible beginning late Thursday night and continuing into late Friday until the initial disturbance and surface front passes through the area.

(3) Complicating the matter a bit is that another upper air low pressure disturbance will move over the area as the cooler surface based air, in the wake of the front, gets settled in Saturday into early Sunday. This will result in increased clouds and a few sprinkles in an overrunning pattern.

(3) With the departure of the second system, drier air with a clearing sky will once again take hold Sunday morning and continue into the new week as surface high pressure settles in from the Rockies.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is suggesting rainfall of less than 0.25″ for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Tuesday

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Wednesday / 09 December 2020

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 80. Light west wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 45. Light southerly wind.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine in the morning becoming partly cloudy by late afternoon. High 78. Wind becoming southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles developing late. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average trace amounts. Low 57. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk before 5pm as a cold front passes. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 0.25″ or less. High 73. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.  
    
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy and cooler. Low 47. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming light late.

SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. High 63. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Low 40. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles before noon. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 59. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 34. Light northeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 60. Light east northeasterly wind.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 39. Light wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 64. Light wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Wednesday / 16 December 2020 through Tuesday / 22 December 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (09 December)…………………………………. 7:16 am
Sunset this evening (09 December)…………………………………… 5:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (10 December)……………………………………… 7:17 am
Sunset tomorrow (10 December)………………………………………. 5:31 pm

Sunshine and Warmer Temps for Now; Rain Chances Late Week (9a, Tu/08Dec2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 08 December 2020 ….

  
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable air mass continues over Texas. With abundant sunshine, temperatures will warm to above seasonal averages over the next few days.

(2) Moisture will be on the increase by Thursday ahead of an approaching upper level low pressure disturbance and associated surface cold front that is due to cross the IH35 corridor by Friday afternoon. Scattered rain showers are possible beginning late Thursday night and continuing into Friday until the front passes through the area.

(3) Drier and cooler air with a clearing sky will once again take hold Friday night and continue through the upcoming weekend and into early next week as surface high pressure settles in from the Rockies.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is suggesting rainfall of less than 0.25″ for the IH35 corridor.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Sunday

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Tuesday / 08 December 2020

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 77. Wind becoming light west northwesterly in the morning then light and variable in the afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 42. Calm wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 79. Light wind becoming southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 45. Light wind.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine in the morning becoming partly cloudy by late afternoon. High 80. Wind becoming southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers developing late. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 0.10″ or less. Low 59. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk before 3pm as a cold front passes. Decreasing clouds by evening. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 0.25″ or less. High 73. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting north northwesterly by mid and late afternoon.  
    
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 47. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 39. Light northerly wind.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 60. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 34. Light northeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 60. Light east northeasterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Tuesday / 15 December 2020 through Monday / 21 December 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (08 December)…………………………………. 7:15 am
Sunset this evening (08 December)…………………………………… 5:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (09 December)……………………………………… 7:16 am
Sunset tomorrow (09 December)………………………………………. 5:31 pm