Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Friday / 02 February 2018

… Clouds Thicken into the Weekend with Slim Rain Chances …
… Another Cold Front Due Late Sunday and Again Tuesday Night …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure, in the wake is yesterday’s cold front, is centered over the northern and central Mississippi valley. The cold front has moved into the northwestern Gulf of Mexico and northeast Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are north northeastward.

On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of low pressure extends from Hudson Bay southward into the southeastern USA. An upper level low pressure disturbance is off the west coast of the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly 55 to 65 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

Cooler air continues to settle southward over the area as the upper air low pressure disturbance, to our distant west, moves overhead. Clouds will continue to thicken and lower over the area with a few patches of rain developing tonight into tomorrow. Some patchy fog may develop overnight into tomorrow morning. Current short range high resolution model data and NWS guidance suggests that rainfall tonight into tomorrow will average less than 1/4 inch.

We’ll see a wind shift into the west by late Saturday night into Sunday morning which will dry out the atmosphere after sunrise Sunday. As a result, we’ll see unseasonably warm high temperatures on Sunday before another dry cold front arrives by Sunday night.

The latest guidance is suggesting increased cloud cover and even some slim precipitation probabilities by late on Monday into Tuesday in advance of another stronger cold front due Tuesday night.

Skies will partially clear Wednesday and Thursday as cooler air once again overtakes the area.

Have a good Friday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Friday / 02 February 2018

TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 56. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. Patchy fog developing after midnight. A 20% chance of rain. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Low 43. Light east northeasterly wind becoming more southeasterly after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Patchy morning fog. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 30% chance of rain. Where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers before 8pm. Patchy fog developing after midnight. A 20% chance of rain. Where rainfall occurs, it will average only a few hundredths of an inch. Low 49. Southeasterly winds 4 to 8 mph shifting light westerly after midnight.

SUNDAY…. Patchy morning fog. Mostly sunny and less humid. Unseasonably warm. High 79. Light westerly wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear as a cold front passes late. Low 47. Easterly wind shifting north northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph after midnight.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 69. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeasterly by afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers. Patchy drizzle and fog developing after midnight. A 20% chance of rain; where rain occurs, it will average less than 1/10th inch. Low 55. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy and warmer with widely scattered rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 75. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers as a cold front passes by 9pm. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy and cooler late. A 20% chance of rain early; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/10th inch or less. Low 45. South southwesterly wind early shifting north northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny and cooler. High 60. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 63. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph early becoming more southeasterly by afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 09 February 2018 through Thursday / 15 February 2018…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 February)………………………………….. 7:21 am
Sunset this evening (02 February)……………………………………. 6:09 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 February)………………………………………. 7:20 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 February)……………………………………….. 6:10 pm

Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 01 February 2018

… Warmer Temperatures Today Before Another Cold Front Moves Through …
… Clouds Increase Tomorrow into the Weekend with Slim Rain Chances …
… Another Cold Front Due Saturday Night …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is centered over the southeastern USA with a south southeastward moving cold front extending southwestward from northwestern Arkansas into southeastern Oklahoma and north Texas then into west Texas and northeastern New Mexico. A trough, or line, of surface low extends south southwestward from a low pressure area along the cold front over northwestern Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are south southwestward.

On the upper air map… a deepening trough, or line, of low pressure covers the USA. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly 60 to 65 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

A cold front is poised to move south southeastward through Texas later today. Limited low level moisture and atmospheric instability and a rather stable air mass in advance of the front will preclude any rain chances at this point.

As cooler air settles southward over the area tonight into Friday and the weekend, a series of upper air low pressure disturbances will move overhead with increasing clouds. With that increase in clouds, we’ll see very slim rain chances (mainly sprinkles) tomorrow night into Saturday.

A second cold front will move into Texas and across the local area by late Saturday night. Clearing skies and cooler temperatures will prevail for the first part of next week.

The latest guidance is suggesting increased cloud cover and even some slim precipitation probabilities by Tuesday into Tuesday night as an upper air disturbance moves west to east well north of our local area.

Have a good Thursday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Thursday / 01 February 2018

TODAY…. Partly cloudy and much warmer ahead of a afternoon cold front. High 76. South southwesterly wind early shifting west northwesterly 8 to 15 mph by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy and a bit cooler. Low 45. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 56. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. A 20% chance of rain. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Low 45. Light northeasterly wind becoming more east southeasterly after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers. A 20% chance of rain. Where rainfall occurs, it will average only a few hundredths of an inch. High 65. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers before 8pm. A 20% chance of rain. Where rainfall occurs, it will average only a few hundredths of an inch. Low 49. Southeasterly winds 4 to 8 mph shifting west northwesterly after midnight as a cold front passes.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny and less humid. High 68. West northwesterly early becoming more north northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 45. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 69. Northeasterly wind becoming south southeasterly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Patchy drizzle and fog developing after midnight. A 20% chance of rain; where drizzle occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 54. Light southeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and warmer with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front passes in the afternoon. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming northwesterly in the afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and cooler. Low 46. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny and a bit cooler. High 64. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 08 February 2018 through Wednesday / 14 February 2018…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01 February)………………………………….. 7:21 am
Sunset this evening (01 February)……………………………………. 6:08 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 February)………………………………………. 7:21 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 February)……………………………………….. 6:09 pm

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 31 January 2018 … Low Clouds and Patchy Fog Quickly Give Way Back to …

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Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 30 January 2018 … Warmer Temperatures Next Few Days … … Another Cold Front …

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Updated 915am CT – Monday / 29 January 2018 … Sunshine to Start the New Week … … Another Cold …

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