Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Friday / 26 January 2018

… Clouds and the Chance of Rain Returns …
… Another Cold Front Moves Through Texas Tomorrow …
… Sunshine Returns Sunday into Next Week …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is located along the east coast of the USA. Surface low pressure and associated surface cold front extends southward from the Dakotas through Nebraska into Colorado through the four corners into Arizona and into northwestern Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are southeasterly.

On the upper air map… a broad trough, or line, of upper air low pressure area is over the western half of the USA. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are southwesterly 60 to 65 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

As the upper air and surface low pressure area, to our distant northwest, continues to develop and move into our area from the west northwest, we’ll continue to see clouds and humidity increase with rain chances going up a bit with even a few thunderstorms possible. An associated cold front will move through our area by late morning into early tomorrow afternoon. Current NWS guidance suggests rainfall for this period will be 1/4 inch or less.

In the wake of the front, clouds and rain chances will decrease by Saturday evening with cooler air progressing southeastward over the area.

A dry and stable air mass will prevail over the area for Sunday into the early into middle part of next week with abundant sunshine.

Another cold front, this one a little stronger, is forecast to move southeastward into Texas by next Thursday but, based on the latest guidance, I’ll only increase cloud coverage a bit and will drop any rain chances associated with this cold frontal passage.

Have a good Friday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Friday / 26 January 2018

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with periods of light drizzle. Scattered rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 65. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Patchy fog after midnight. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 56. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk, before 1pm as a cold front passes. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 68. Southeasterly wind early becoming north northeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles before 8pm. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Low 49. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 64. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 38. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more northeasterly in the afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 38. Light northeasterly wind becoming light late.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 66. Light easterly wind early becoming south southeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 46. Light south southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 70. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 51. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy with a cold front passing in the morning. Turning a bit cooler. High 65. South southwesterly wind early shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 02 February 2018 through Thursday / 08 February 2018…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (26 January)………………………………….. 7:25 am
Sunset this evening (26 January)……………………………………. 6:03 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (27 January)………………………………………. 7:24 am
Sunset tomorrow (27 January)……………………………………….. 6:03 pm

Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 25 January 2018

… Another Day of Sunshine …
… Clouds and the Chance of Rain Returns Tonight into the Weekend …
… Another Cold Front Moves Through Texas Saturday …
… Sunshine Returns Sunday into Next Week …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure extends southwestward from middle Tennessee into the Texas coastal plains. A developing trough, or line, of low pressure extends from a surface low over southeastern Colorado and southwestern Kansas southwestward into New Mexico and southeast Arizona. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are light and variable.

On the upper air map… an upper level low pressure area is over the Great Lakes with a broad trough extending southward over the eastern half of the USA. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are southwesterly 75 to 80 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

Our dry stable weather pattern continues today for south central Texas.

As the low pressure area, to our distant northwest, continues to develop and approach our area from the west northwest. As it gets closer later tonight through Friday into Saturday, we’ll see clouds and humidity increase with rain chances going up a bit. An associated cold front will move through our area by midday into early Saturday afternoon. Current NWS guidance suggests rainfall for this period will be 1/4 inch or less.

In the wake of the front, clouds and rain chances will decrease by Saturday evening with cooler air progressing southeastward over the area.

A dry and stable air mass will prevail over the area for Sunday into the early into middle part of next week with abundant sunshine.

Although it’s beyond our seven day forecast period, another cold front is forecast to move southeastward into Texas by next Thursday with an associated increase in cloud cover and perhaps some rain chances as well.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Thursday / 25 January 2018

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 65. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. Patchy fog developing as well. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 48. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 65. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 55. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms before 2pm as a cold front passes. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 69. Southerly wind early becoming north northeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clouds and a few sprinkles before 8pm. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy late. Low 48. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 63. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 38. Light north northeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming easterly in the afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 39. Light wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 67. Light wind early becoming south southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 45. Light southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 69. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 01 February 2018 through Wednesday / 07 February 2018…
Temperature… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (25 January)………………………………….. 7:25 am
Sunset this evening (25 January)……………………………………. 6:02 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (26 January)………………………………………. 7:25 am
Sunset tomorrow (26 January)……………………………………….. 6:03 pm

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 24 January 2018 … Plenty of Sunshine … … Clouds and the Chance of …

Read more

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 23 January 2018 … Plenty of Sunshine For Now … … Clouds and the …

Read more

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 22 January 2018 … Plenty of Sunshine to Greet the New Week … … …

Read more