Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 05 March 2018

… A Cold Front with Scattered Thunderstorms Today …
… Drier and More Stable For Much of the Remainder of the Week …
… Another Disturbance and Cold Front Late Friday into Saturday …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a developing surface low is over northeastern Kansas and southeastern Nebraska with a cold front extending south southwestward into northwestern Oklahoma and northern and western Texas and northern Mexico. A northeastward moving warm front extends from the surface low southeastward into eastern Oklahoma and the ArkLaTex region into southeastern Louisiana. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are southerly.

On the upper air map… a northwest-to-southeast (negatively) tilted trough, or line, of low pressure is centered over western South Dakota. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly 60 to 70 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

The cold front, to our northwest, is moving southeastward and will cross the IH35 corridor by early afternoon today. In advance of the front, atmospheric lift will result in scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. As cooler and more stable air moves into our area in the wake of the front, we’ll see rain chances and clouds decrease by mid to late afternoon.

The drier and more stable weather pattern will prevail tonight through early Friday before another upper air low pressure disturbance and associated cold front move through the area by late Friday into Saturday.

Drier and cooler air will, once again, move into the area by Saturday night into Sunday.

Over the next seven days, according to guidance from the NWS/Weather Prediction Center, rainfall over the IH35 corridor will average 1/4 inch or less.

Have a good Monday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Monday / 05 March 2018

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk through early afternoon as a cold front passes. Decreasing clouds and less humid in the afternoon. A 50% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 77. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph shifting north northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Decreasing clouds becoming mostly clear and cooler. Low 46. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 72. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 43. Light northeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 66. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 42. Light east northeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 68. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming southeasterly in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 50. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and more humid. High 74. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 62. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy and much warmer in advance of a cold front passing through the area by mid to late afternoon. High 83. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming northerly late in the afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 53. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy and a little cooler. High 75. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 12 March 2018 through Sunday / 18 March 2018…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (05 March)………………………………………. 6:52 am
Sunset this evening (05 March)………………………………………… 6:33 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (06 March)…………………………………………… 6:51 am
Sunset tomorrow (06 March)……………………………………………. 6:34 pm

*** I will be out of the office on Friday / 02 March and will not update this website again until Monday    05 March ***

Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 01 March 2018

… Clouds and Rain Chances Return over the Upcoming Weekend …
… Another Cold Front Due Early Monday …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a southeastward moving cold front extends from the ArkLaTex region to along the Texas coastal plains. Another secondary cold front is moving southeastward through north central Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are northwesterly.

On the upper air map… a counter clockwise rotating upper air low pressure trough is over central USA with another low pressure area off the coast of the Pacific northwest coast. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are west southwesterly 90 to 100 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

With the leading cold front now through the area, a drier and more stable weather pattern will prevail through tomorrow night.

Another approaching cold front and associated upper air low pressure disturbance, from the west, will pull low level moisture northward again to affect the area by Friday night into Saturday, Sunday and into next week. The front should pass through the area by late Sunday into Monday with rain chances decreasing thereafter.

Precipitation over our south central Texas region, over the next seven day period, will average less than 1/4 inch range.

Have a good Thursday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Thursday / 01 March 2018

TODAY…. Some clouds lingering until sunrise then sunny and less humid. High 67. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 44. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 68. North northeasterly wind becoming east southeasterly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with increasing low clouds late. Low 48. Light east southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Patchy fog and drizzle early.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy and more humid. Scattered patches of rain. A few rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 68. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 55. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Patchy fog early.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 72. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 57. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Patchy fog early.. otherwise mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk through midday as a cold front passes. Decreasing clouds and less humid in the afternoon. A 40% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 68. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph shifting north northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Decreasing clouds becoming mostly clear and cooler. Low 48. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 68. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 45. Light east northeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 70. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 08 March 2018 through Wednesday / 14 March 2018…
Temperature… Near to Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01 March)………………………………………. 6:58 am
Sunset this evening (01 March)………………………………………… 6:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 March)…………………………………………… 6:56 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 March)……………………………………………. 6:31 pm

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 28 February 2018 … Unsettled Weather Returns with Clouds and Rain Chances … … …

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Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 27 February 2018 … Unsettled Weather Returns with Clouds, Fog and Rain Chances … …

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Updated 915am CT – Monday / 26 February 2018 … A Dry Day Today … … Unsettled Weather Pattern and …

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