Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 26 February 2018

… A Dry Day Today …
… Unsettled Weather Pattern and Rain Chances Return by Tomorrow …
… Weather Pattern Turns More Stable Later in the Week …
… Clouds and Rain Chances Return over the Upcoming Weekend …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a stationary front extends southwestward from the Alabama and Mississippi coasts southwestward to off the central Louisiana coast into the northwest Gulf of Mexico off the Texas coast. Weak high pressure, behind the front, is situated from the Ohio Valley into far west Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are light northerly.

On the upper air map… the broad deep trough, or line, of counter clockwise rotating upper air low pressure continues from Canada southward across the USA. Within the broad counter clockwise flow, a strong disturbance extends from southwestern Canada to along the west coast of the USA. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are west southwesterly 90 to 100 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

In the wake of the cold front that moved through the area on Saturday night and trailing upper air low pressure disturbances yesterday, a more stable weather pattern will prevail today in the wake of our morning fog in areas of the IH35 corridor and areas eastward.

We’ll see another cold front move through the area by the late Wednesday with clouds and rain chances returning as early as tonight into Tuesday.

Once the front passes by Wednesday night, a drier and more stable weather pattern will prevail Thursday through Friday and through most of the day on Saturday.

Another approaching cold front and associated upper air low pressure disturbance will affect the area by Saturday night into Sunday. The front should pass through the area by midday next Monday with rain chances decreasing thereafter.

Precipitation over our south central Texas region, over the next seven day period, will average somewhere in the 1/4 to 1/2 inch range.

Have a good Monday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Monday / 26 February 2018

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 70. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with patchy fog and drizzle developing after midnight. Isolated rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 54. Light easterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Patchy fog and drizzle early in the morning. Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain in the morning increasing to 60% by afternoon; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 71. Light easterly wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy. Rain chances decreasing early. A few lingering rain showers. A 60% chance of rain early decreasing to 20% by late night; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 77. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with associated lightning risk as a cold front passes. Rain Chances increases to 60%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. A little cooler after midnight. Low 53. Southwesterly wind becoming northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny and less humid. High 65. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 44. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 66. North northeasterly wind becoming east southeasterly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 46. Light east southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Patchy fog early.. otherwise partly cloudy and more humid. High 69. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. A few rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 55. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Patchy fog early.. otherwise mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 71. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 05 March 2018 through Sunday / 11 March 2018…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (26 February)………………………………….. 7:00 am
Sunset this evening (26 February)……………………………………. 6:28 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (27 February)………………………………………. 6:59 am
Sunset tomorrow (27 February)……………………………………….. 6:29 pm