Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Upper Level Low Pressure Storm System Passes Overhead Tonight; Otherwise, Little Change over Next Seven Days (9am, Tu/01Dec2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 01 December 2020 ….

  
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The high pressure area will move east of the area today as another upper level low pressure storm system and surface cold front moves across Texas late tonight into the predawn hours tomorrow. I doubt how much low level moisture will be able to return in advance of the system but nevertheless I will include increased cloud cover and very slim rain chances for the period from midnight to 6am tomorrow as the dynamic system passes.

(2) Following the mid week front, strong high pressure from the western USA and Canada
will build over Texas with abundant sunshine and below average temperatures continuing through the upcoming weekend.     

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, indicates less than 0.10″ of rainfall.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Very High Confidence Through Today
High Confidence for Tonight (Reference Low Overnight Rain Chances)
Very High Confidence Returns Wednesday through Monday

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Tuesday / 1 December 2020

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 62. Light wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing after midnight. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 44. Light southerly wind becoming north northwesterly toward daybreak.

WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with a few sprinkles before 8am. Decreasing clouds mid morning becoming sunny and less humid. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 60. North northwesterly wind 8 to 18 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 36. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 57. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 33. Light northerly wind.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 57. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 34. Light northerly wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 62. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Light northerly wind.

SUNDAY….  Mostly sunny. High 64. Light north northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 41. Light wind.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 65. Light south southeasterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Tuesday / 08 December 2020 through Monday / 14 December 2020…
Temperatures… Below Average    
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01 December)…………………………………. 7:10 am
Sunset this evening (01 December)…………………………………… 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 December)……………………………………… 7:11 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 December)………………………………………. 5:30 pm

Cooler Than Average Temperatures; Slim Mid Week Rain Chances (9am, Mon/30Nov2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 30 November 2020 ….

  
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) High pressure has built into Texas in the wake of the upper air low pressure storm system and associated cold front that passed over the weekend. A freeze/hard freeze is likely over most of south central Texas overnight tonight into Tuesday.

(2) The high pressure area will move east of the area by tomorrow as another upper level low pressure storm system and surface cold front moves across Texas late tomorrow night into the predawn hours on Wednesday. I doubt how much low level moisture will be able to return in advance of the system but nevertheless I will include increased cloud cover and very slim rain chances for the period from midnight to 6am Wednesday as the dynamic system passes.

(3) Following the mid week front, strong high pressure from the western USA and Canada
will build over Texas with abundant sunshine and below average temperatures continuing into next weekend.     

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, indicates less than 0.25″ of rainfall.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Very High Confidence Through Tuesday
High Confidence for Tuesday Night (Reference Overnight Rain Chances)
Very High Confidence for Wednesday through Sunday

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Monday / 30 November 2020

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 55. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Clear with a freeze or hard freeze in most areas. Low 31 in the downtown area to 22 to 29 in outlying and low lying areas. North northwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm late.  

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 62. Light wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with a few rain showers developing after midnight. A 30%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. Low 44. Light southerly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with a sprinkles before 8am. Decreasing clouds mid morning becoming sunny and a little cooler for the balance of the day. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 59. West southwesterly wind becoming north northwesterly 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 36. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 55. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 32. Light northerly wind.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 57. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 34. Light northerly wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 62. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Light northerly wind.

SUNDAY….  Mostly sunny. High 65. Light north northeasterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 07 December 2020 through Sunday / 13 December 2020…
Temperatures… Near Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (30 November)…………………………………. 7:09 am
Sunset this evening (30 November)…………………………………… 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01 December)……………………………………… 7:10 am
Sunset tomorrow (01 December)………………………………………. 5:30 pm