** I’ll be taking off for Thanksgiving and my forecasts will return next Monday **
Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 24 November 2020 ….
Not Available Today…
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Another upper air disturbance and associated cold front will move east southeastward across the area later tonight with increased cloud cover and even a few rain showers and sprinkles. Clouds will break in the wake of the front by tomorrow morning with sunshine expected through Thanksgiving Day.
(2) A second dynamic upper air disturbance and associated stronger cold front will likely move across Texas by Friday into Saturday with increased cloud cover and scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms. The front will actually move through the area Friday morning into midday with several lagging upper air disturbances producing overrunning lingering clouds and rain chances with cooler temperatures into Friday night and Saturday through Saturday night and into early Sunday.
(3) A third cold front, rather strong in nature, will surge south southeastward over the area by Sunday morning with partial clearing and much cooler temperatures following into the new week.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, indicates 1 to 2 inches.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High Confidence Today through Thursday
Medium to High Confidence Friday through Saturday
Very High Confidence for Sunday and Monday
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 24 November 2020
TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles early then decreasing clouds becoming mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. High 80. Southerly winds increasing to 8 to 18 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 60. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny with a cold front passing into the morning hours. High 73. Light south southwesterly wind shifting northerly 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49. Light northeasterly wind.
THURSDAY /THANKSGIVING DAY/…. Partly cloudy. High 78. Light easterly wind early becoming southeasterly 5 to 12 mph by mid morning into the afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles developing before midnight then scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, after midnight. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 66. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms before noon. Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, for the afternoon as a cold front passes. A 60% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″ to 0.75″. High 78. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more southwesterly by midday into afternoon then shifting north northeasterly in the afternoon.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy and a bit cooler with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat continuing. A 60%chance of rain. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″ to 0.50″. Low 52. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, in the morning then scattered rain in the afternoon. A 50% chance of rain in the morning decreasing to 40% by afternoon; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 64. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly in the afternoon.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy early with a few sprinkles early. Becoming partly cloudy as a cold front passes after midnight. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Low 46. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph after midnight.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy in the morning and mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 62. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 39. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph decreasing late.
MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 59. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 30 November 2020 through Sunday / 06 December 2020…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (23 November)…………………………………. 7:03 am
Sunset this evening (23 November)…………………………………… 5:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (24 November)……………………………………… 7:04 am
Sunset tomorrow (24 November)………………………………………. 5:31 pm