Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Cooler Temperatures to Start the Week (2pm, Mon/23Nov2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 23 November 2020 ….

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) In the wake of the cold front yesterday, a little cooler temperatures are expected today for the area with clouds decreasing.

(2) Another upper air disturbance and associated cold front will move east southeastward across the area late tomorrow into tomorrow night with increased cloud cover and even a few sprinkles. Clouds will break in the wake of the front by Wednesday morning with sunshine expected through Thanksgiving Day.

(3) A second upper air disturbance and associated stronger cold front will likely move across Texas by Friday into Saturday with increased cloud cover and scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms. The front will actually move through the area Friday afternoon with several lagging upper air disturbances producing overrunning lingering clouds and rain chances with cooler temperatures into Saturday.

(4) A third cold front, rather strong in nature, will surge south southeastward over the area by next Sunday morning with clearing skies and much cooler temperatures following.   

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, indicates 1/2 to 1 inch.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Medium to High Confidence Today through Thursday
Low to Medium Confidence Friday through Saturday
Medium Confidence for Sunday

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Monday / 23 November 2020

TODAY…. Partly cloudy. High 70. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more east southeasterly by late afternoon.  

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early. Increasing clouds late with a few sprinkles after midnight. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. Low 59. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles early then decreasing clouds becoming mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average trace amounts. High 80. Southerly winds increasing to 8 to 18 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 60. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny with a cold front passing into the morning hours. High 73. Light south southwesterly wind shifting northerly 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49. Light northeasterly wind.

THURSDAY /THANKSGIVING DAY/…. Partly cloudy. High 78. Light easterly wind early becoming southeasterly 5 to 12 mph by mid morning into the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles developing before midnight then scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, after midnight. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 66. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms before noon. Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, for the afternoon as a cold front passes. A 60% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″ to 0.75″. High 78. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more southwesterly by midday into afternoon then shifting north northeasterly in the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy and a bit cooler with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat continuing. A 60%chance of rain. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″. Low 52. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, in the morning then scattered rain showers as clouds decrease in the afternoon. A 50% chance of rain in the morning decreasing to 40% by afternoon; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 64. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly in the afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy as a cold front passes late. Low 46. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph after midnight.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 62. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 30 November 2020 through Sunday / 06 December 2020…
Temperatures… Near Average    
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (23 November)…………………………………. 7:03 am
Sunset this evening (23 November)…………………………………… 5:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (24 November)……………………………………… 7:04 am
Sunset tomorrow (24 November)………………………………………. 5:31 pm