Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 17 August 2020 ….
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… Lightning Hazard with Any Thunderstorms Today …
… Strong Straight Line Thunderstorm Wind Threat with Any Thunderstorms Today …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) The upper level high, what I refer to as the “lid” on the atmosphere, has, as predicted, shifted more north and westward and has resulted in a more north northwesterly wind aloft. In response, a weak cold front has moved southward into central Texas. The front will come a little further south today before pulling stationary across the area. As a result, we’ll see a little better chance of a few rain showers and thunderstorms developing in the more unstable air mass. Frequent lightning along with strong, variable and gusty surface winds can be expected with any storms today into tonight. With additional clouds, afternoon high temperatures will come down a few degrees although still remaining above seasonal averages.
(2) As the weak stationary front weakens and washes out, upper level high pressure redevelops over the area by tomorrow and continuing mid and late week. Accordingly, clouds and rain chances decrease or drop from the forecast and temperatures rebound a few degrees.
(3) Although weather will remain quiet, beginning next weekend, we need to watch the tropics closely as a tropical system, moving west northwestward from the Caribbean, may be entering the Gulf of Mexico.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Through Tomorrow..
Low to medium precipitation confidence otherwise very high forecast confidence
Tomorrow Night Through Sunday..
Very high forecast confidence
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 17 August 2020
TODAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 100. Winds light and variable becoming light northerly except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 9pm. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. Low 75. Winds light northerly except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.
TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny.. High 101. Winds light northerly.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. Light wind.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 102. Light wind becoming light easterly by afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Light wind.
THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 102. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Light wind.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 102. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Light south southeasterly wind.
SATURDAY…. Brief morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Light south southeasterly wind.
SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds, otherwise partly cloudy. High 101. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 24 August 2020 through Sunday / 30 August 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (17 August)………………………………….. 6:59 am
Sunset this evening (17 August)……………………………………. 8:10 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (18 August)………………………………………. 7:00 am
Sunset tomorrow (18 August)……………………………………….. 8:09 pm