Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 18 August 2020 ….

  
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Lightning / Strong Straight Line Thunderstorm Wind Threat with Any Storm Today …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The upper level high, what I refer to as the “lid” on the atmosphere, has remained centered more north and westward over Nevada and has resulted in a more north northwesterly wind aloft. In response, a weak cold front has moved southward into our area as it pulls up stationary. As a result, we’ll see one more day of widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms overhead. Frequent lightning along with strong, variable and gusty surface winds can be expected with any storms today into tonight.

(2) As the weak stationary front weakens and washes out, upper level high pressure redevelops over the area by tomorrow and continuing through late week into the weekend. Accordingly, clouds and rain chances decrease or drop from the forecast and temperatures rebound a few degrees.

(3) Although weather will remain quiet, beginning over the weekend and into next week, we need to watch the tropics closely as a tropical system, moving west northwestward from the Caribbean, may enter the Gulf of Mexico.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Through Today/Tonight..
Low precipitation confidence otherwise very high forecast confidence
Tomorrow Night Through Monday..
Very high forecast confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Tuesday / 18 August 2020

TODAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 100. Winds light north northeasterly except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 8pm. A less than 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.10″. Low 75. Winds light northeasterly except strong, variable and gusty around any evening thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 101. Light wind becoming light northeasterly.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Light wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 101. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Light wind.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 102. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Light south southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 101. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Light south southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 100. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Light south southeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 100. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Tuesday / 25 August 2020 through Wednesday / 02 September 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (18 August)………………………………….. 7:00 am
Sunset this evening (18 August)……………………………………. 8:09 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (19 August)………………………………………. 7:00 am
Sunset tomorrow (19 August)……………………………………….. 8:08 pm