Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Unseasonably Warm Temperatures Continue But Some Big Changes to Much Cooler by Late Week (Tu/08Nov2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 08 November 2022

 

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Late night and early morning low clouds are expected to continue with afternoon high temperatures well above seasonal averages through Thursday.

(2) Another passing upper air low pressure area and stronger surface cold front will make their way over the IH35 corridor late Thursday night into the early morning hours on Friday. At this point, I do not expect to see much in the way of precipitation as these two systems pass.

(3) In the wake of the early Friday cold front, the coolest air of our fall season will move in as surface high pressure from the Rockies and plains states builds southward into Texas Friday into Saturday. As the cooler air continues to move into the area, a weak disturbance will cause some clouds to persist and we could even see a sprinkle or two late Friday night into early Saturday as the much cooler air settles in.

(4) Toward the end of the seven day forecast period, it looks like the much cooler surface air will be overrun by moisture with increased clouds as early as late Sunday and more likely into early next week. As a result, occasional light rain and chilly below average temperatures look to prevail by early next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, less than 0.25 inch rainfall totals over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the next seven days.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 08 November 2022

TODAY /ELECTION DAY/…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy through midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 66. Light southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts in the afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy through midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 66. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 83. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy through midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 65. Light southeasterly wind becoming calm late.

FRIDAY /VETERANS DAY/…. Becoming partly cloudy as a cold front passes before sunrise. Breezy and cooler. High 68. Light wind early shifting north northwesterly 10 to 20 mph by 8am with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles developing by midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Breezy and much cooler. Low 45. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

SATURDAY…. A few sprinkles before 10am. Mostly cloudy and much cooler. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 58. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 42. Light northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 60. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 46. Light northeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 58. Light east northeasterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 15 November through Monday / 21 November 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (08Nov)………………………………………… 6:51 am
Sunset this evening (08Nov)………………………………………….. 5:38 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (09Nov)…………………………………………….. 6:52 am
Sunset tomorrow (09Nov)……………………………………………… 5:37 pm