Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 09 November 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Late night and early morning low clouds are expected to continue with afternoon high temperatures well above seasonal averages through tomorrow.

(2) Another passing upper air low pressure area and stronger surface cold front will make their way over the IH35 corridor late Thursday night into the early morning hours on Friday. However, since yesterday, there have been significant changes in the rain chances beginning as the front passes early Friday morning and continuing through the day until late Friday night with rain, rain showers and even a few thunderstorms now in the forecast. Rain chances should drop from the forecast and clouds will break after midnight Friday night.

(3) As the much cooler air continues to move in, we’ll see a mix of clouds and sunshine for our weekend. Overnight lows are now likely to fall into the 30s for most areas away from urban IH35 corridor area Saturday night.. this will be the first widespread overnight lows in the 30s this fall season.

(4) By late Sunday into Monday, it looks like the much cooler surface air will be overrun by moisture with increased clouds and rain chances as well as chilly below average temperatures look to prevail for the first half of next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, 0.25 inch rainfall totals over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the next seven days.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 09 November 2022

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts in the afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy through midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 66. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise partly cloudy. High 83. Light southeasterly wind becoming southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy through midnight then becoming mostly cloudy with a few rain showers developing after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than .05 inch. Low 63. Light southeasterly wind becoming west southwesterly after midnight.

FRIDAY /VETERANS DAY/…. Cloudy. As a cold front passes, turning breezy and cooler after 8am. Scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, developing. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, will average .25 inch. High 65 in the morning settling to near 59 in the afternoon. West southwesterly wind early shifting north northwesterly 12 to 22 mph by 8am with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy and much colder. Scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, decreasing after 11pm with clouds decreasing after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 42. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy before 9am then mostly sunny. Unseasonably cool. High 58. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts before midnight.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 36 to 39 in outlying low lying areas to 41 in more urban areas. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably cool. High 59. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more easterly in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles developing after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 46. Light easterly wind.

MONDAY…. Cloudy with a scattered light sprinkles. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than .05 inch. High 60. East southeasterly wind increasing to 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered light sprinkles. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average will average less than .05 inch. Low 46. Light easterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered light sprinkles. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average will average less than .05 inch. High 61. Light east northeasterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 16 November through Tuesday / 22 November 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (09Nov)………………………………………… 6:52 am
Sunset this evening (09Nov)………………………………………….. 5:37 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (10Nov)…………………………………………….. 6:53 am
Sunset tomorrow (10Nov)……………………………………………… 5:37 pm