Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 07 November 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… A Lightning Threat Today with Isolated Thunderstorms …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) South southeasterly winds have quickly returned in the wake of Friday night cold front with low level moisture having increased considerably. A few rain showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible into early afternoon today.
(2) Late night and early morning low clouds are expected to continue with afternoon high temperatures well above seasonal averages through Thursday.
(3) Another passing upper air low pressure area and stronger surface cold front will make their way over the IH35 corridor late Thursday night into the early morning hours on Friday. At this point, I do not expect to see much in the way of precipitation as these systems pass.
(4) In the wake of the early Friday cold front, the coolest air of our fall season will move in as surface high pressure from the Rockies and plains states builds southward into Texas Friday into Saturday. As the cooler air continues to move into the area, a weak disturbance could trigger a sprinkle or two late Friday night into early Saturday as the much cooler air settles in.
(5) Right at and beyond the seven day forecast period, it looks like the much cooler surface air will be overrun by moisture with increased clouds as early at late Sunday and more likely into early next week. As a result, occasional light rain and chilly below average temperatures look to prevail by early next week.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, 0.25 inch rainfall totals over the next seven day forecast period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the next seven days.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 07 November 2022
TODAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat into early afternoon. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Becoming partly cloudy mid and late afternoon. High 84. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy through midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles possible after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 66. Light east southeasterly wind.
TUESDAY /ELECTION DAY/…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy through midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 65. Light southeasterly wind.
WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts in the afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy through midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 65. Light southeasterly wind.
THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 83. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts in the afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy through midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 65. Light southeasterly wind becoming calm late.
FRIDAY /VETERANS DAY/…. Becoming partly cloudy early as a cold front passes. Mostly sunny late morning through the afternoon. Breezy and cooler. High 72. Light wind early shifting northerly 10 to 20 mph by 8am with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles developing by midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Breezy and much cooler. Low 45. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph.
SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles before noon then becoming partly cloudy. Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Much cooler. High 58. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 42. Light northeasterly wind.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 61. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 14 November through Sunday / 20 November 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (07Nov)………………………………………… 6:50 am
Sunset this evening (07Nov)………………………………………….. 5:39 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (08Nov)…………………………………………….. 6:51 am
Sunset tomorrow (08Nov)……………………………………………… 5:38 pm