Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 21 February 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
…. No Hazards Expected ….
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Temperatures have rebound to become unseasonably warm as we begin the new week. The return of low level moisture from the Gulf of Mexico has resulted in increased clouds with rain chances beginning a slow return today as well. All of this is occurring in advance of an upper level low pressure storm system late tonight into tomorrow.
(2) A stronger cold front will pass overhead late Tuesday with unseasonably chilly temperatures expected the latter part of the week into the upcoming weekend with the chance of light overrunning precipitation in the wake of the front Wednesday night into Thursday and Friday and continuing into the weekend (with lagging upper air disturbances passing west-to-east overhead) with temperatures, at this point, expected to remain above the freezing mark
(3) Clouds will break late Saturday night into Sunday with temperatures beginning a warming trend.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.25 inch or less of precipitation over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A moderate to high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 21 February 2022
TODAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy drizzle otherwise becoming partly cloudy and much warmer. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. High 81. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.
TONIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after midnight. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch or less. Low 65. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 8am. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy and unseasonably warm. High 85. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more southwesterly in the afternoon.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming cloudy and turning cooler as a cold front passes. Low 48. Light southwesterly wind shifting north northeasterly 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy, breezy and colder with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 52. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 39. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph.
THURSDAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cold with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 48. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with a few sprinkles. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. Low 33. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph.
FRIDAY…. Cloudy and colder with a few sprinkles. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. High 42. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with a few sprinkles. Some light sleet may mix with the rain. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. Low 32. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy and continued unseasonably cold with a few sprinkles. Some light sleet may mix with the rain before 9am. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. High 47. Light northeasterly wind.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles mainly before midnight. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. Low 35. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY…. Decreasing clouds early becoming mostly sunny and a little warmer. High 59. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 28 February 2022 through Sunday / 06 March 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (21 February)…………………………………… 7:05 am
Sunset this evening (21 February)…………………………………….. 6:24 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (22 February)……………………………………….. 7:04 am
Sunset tomorrow (22 February)………………………………………… 6:25 pm