Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Plenty of Sunshine for Our Weekend.. Big Weather Changes Due with Renewed Winter Chill Next Week (Fr/18Feb2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 18 February 2022
       

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Hazards Expected ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) High pressure has rebuilt southeastward into Texas from the Rockies and Plains states. This will allow for a dry and cooler weather pattern into our weekend.

(2) Another low pressure storm system will be approaching Texas from the west by late in the weekend into next week with a return southerly surface wind as well as increased cloud cover and humidity. Temperatures will rebound to become unseasonably warm Sunday into next week. Rain chances begin a slow return to the area by early next week in advance of the mid week system. A stronger cold front will pass overhead Tuesday night with much colder temperatures expected the latter part of next week with the chance of some light overrunning precipitation in the wake of the front Wednesday into Thursday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting less than 0.25 inch of  precipitation over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A moderate to high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 18 February 2022

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 58. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 33. Light north northeasterly wind becoming light late.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 66. Light wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 42. Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm late.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny through midday then becoming partly cloudy. High 72. Light wind becoming southerly 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 58. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy and much warmer. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch. High 81. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 18 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy and unseasonably warm with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch. High 83. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 18 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and turning windy and colder with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes in the early evening. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 38. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting northerly 15 to 25 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy, windy and unseasonably cold with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 50% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 40. Wind chill temperatures in the 20s and 30s. Northerly wind 15 to 25 mph and gusty.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 50% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 33. Northerly wind decreasing to 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and unseasonably cold with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 47. Northerly wind 15 to 25 mph and gusty.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 25 February 2022 through Thursday / 03 March 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (18 February)…………………………………… 7:08 am
Sunset this evening (18 February)…………………………………….. 6:22 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (19 February)……………………………………….. 7:07 am
Sunset tomorrow (19 February)………………………………………… 6:23 pm