Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 20 April 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
…. No Weather Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) The cold front that passed over the area late Sunday night has returned northward over the area in the last 24 hours with humidity on the increase as evidenced by the low clouds and even some light rain overnight into the morning hours this morning. Overall, very little in the way in a precipitation trigger mechanism is expected with a dry (but increasingly humid) weather pattern continuing at least through the remainder of the week. However, a few sprinkles are once again possible tonight into early tomorrow but rainfall amounts will be minimal.
(2) Our next upper level low pressure disturbance will move over Texas by Saturday night into Sunday as a cold front pushes south southeastward into Texas. The latest guidance now suggests that the front moves across the IH35 corridor in the morning hours on Monday. With increasing atmospheric instability and higher moisture level, I will continue with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms beginning late Sunday into Monday for the IH35 corridor.
(3) Cooler temperatures and lower humidity levels will follow the cold frontal passage early Monday and continue into Monday night and Tuesday as skies partially clear.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance has increased the amounts expected; 0.50 to 1.00 inch of rain is now expected over our area over the next seven day period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 20 April 2022
TODAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. Breezy and more humid. High 88. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. A few sprinkles after 11pm. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less then 0.05 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly winds 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds and few sprinkles before 11am. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less then 0.05 inch. Becoming partly cloudy and breezy by afternoon. High 89. South southeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. Low 70. Southerly winds 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. Breezy. High 90. South southeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. Low 69. South southeasterly winds 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. Breezy. High 90. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Breezy. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph and gusty.
SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. Breezy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after 3pm. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.10 inch or less. High 89.
Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly after midnight. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch. Low 67. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph becoming more southwesterly after midnight.
MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 12 noon as a cold front moves through the area. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy and less humid by mid into late afternoon. High 80. Westerly wind early becoming north northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 59. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 79. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 27 April 2022 through Tuesday / 03 May 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (20 April)………………………………………….. 6:58 am
Sunset this evening (20 April)……………………………………………. 8:02 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (21 April)………………………………………………. 6:57 am
Sunset tomorrow (21 April)……………………………………………….. 8:03 pm