Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 19 April 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
…. No Weather Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) The cold front that passed over the area late Sunday night is weakening to our south and returning northward as a warm front with humidity on the increase by this afternoon continuing into mid into late week and our upcoming weekend. At this point, very little in the way in dynamics is expected with a dry (but increasingly humid) weather pattern continuing at least through the remainder of the week. A few sprinkles are possible as this moisture returns tonight into early tomorrow but rainfall amounts will be minimal.
(2) Our next upper level low pressure disturbance will move over Texas by Saturday night into Sunday as a cold front pushes south southeastward into Texas. The latest guidance now suggests that the front moves across the IH35 corridor in the predawn hours Tuesday. With increasing atmospheric instability and higher moisture level, I will continue with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms beginning late Sunday into Monday for the IH35 corridor.
(3) Cooler temperatures and lower humidity levels will follow the cold frontal passage early Monday and continue into Monday night and Tuesday as skies partially clear.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.25 to 0.50 inch of rain over our area over the next seven day period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 19 April 2022
TODAY…. Mostly sunny this morning becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 83. Wind becoming south southeasterly 8 to 15 mph and a bit gusty by afternoon.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. More humid with a few sprinkles developing late. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average trace amounts. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY…. A few sprinkles before 9am. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average trace amounts. Breezy and more humid. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. Low 70. South southeasterly winds 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. Breezy. High 90. South southeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. Low 70. Southerly winds 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. Breezy. High 90. South southeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. Low 69. South southeasterly winds 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. Breezy. High 90. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Breezy. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph and gusty.
SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. Breezy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after 3pm. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.10 inch or less. High 89.
Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly after midnight. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch. Low 67. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph becoming more southwesterly after midnight.
MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 9am as a cold front moves through the area by sunrise. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch. Decreasing clouds and cooler after 9am becoming partly cloudy and less humid by midday and afternoon. High 79. Westerly wind early becoming north northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 26 April 2022 through Monday / 02 May 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (19 April)………………………………………….. 6:59 am
Sunset this evening (19 April)……………………………………………. 8:01 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (20 April)………………………………………………. 6:58 am
Sunset tomorrow (20 April)……………………………………………….. 8:02 pm