Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Morning Low Clouds Give Way to Some Afternoon Sun (Th/21Apr2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 21 April 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A typical humid spring weather pattern continues over the area. Overall, very little in the way in a precipitation trigger mechanism is expected with a dry (but increasingly humid) weather pattern continuing at least through the remainder of the week. However, a few sprinkles / very light drizzle are once again possible over the next few mornings with morning low clouds but rainfall amounts will be minimal.

(2) Our next upper level low pressure disturbance will move over Texas by Saturday night into Sunday as a cold front pushes south southeastward into Texas. The latest guidance now suggests that the front moves across the IH35 corridor in the early morning hours on Monday. With increasing atmospheric instability and higher moisture level, I will continue with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms beginning late Sunday into Monday for the IH35 corridor.

(3) Rain chances may linger as cooler temperatures follow the cold frontal passage Monday into Monday evening. Skies will partially clear as drier and more stable air moves into the area after midnight Monday night and into Tuesday and Wednesday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance has increased the amounts expected; 0.50 to 1.00 inch of rain is now expected over our area over the next seven day period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 21 April 2022

TODAY…. Morning low clouds and few sprinkles before 10am. Given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average trace amounts. Becoming partly cloudy and breezy by afternoon. High 89. South southeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. Low 70. Southerly winds 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds and few sprinkles before 10am. Given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average trace amounts. Becoming partly cloudy and breezy. High 89. South southeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. Low 69. South southeasterly winds 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds and few sprinkles before 10am. Given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average trace amounts. Becoming partly cloudy and breezy. High 90. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Breezy. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph and gusty.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy. Breezy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after 3pm. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.10 inch or less. High 89.
Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph and gusty.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly after midnight. Given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Low 67. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph becoming more southwesterly after midnight.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy and turning cooler with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front moves through the area during the morning rush hour. Given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 77. Westerly wind early becoming north northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy cooler with scattered rain showers mainly before 9pm. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.10 inch. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Low 56. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 78. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 54. Light northeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 83. Light easterly wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph by afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 28 April 2022 through Wednesday / 04 May 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (21 April)………………………………………….. 6:57 am
Sunset this evening (21 April)……………………………………………. 8:03 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (22 April)………………………………………………. 6:56 am
Sunset tomorrow (22 April)……………………………………………….. 8:03 pm