Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

The Rain Chances Continue with the Possibility of Some Heavier Rain (Th/01Sep2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 01 September 2022

 

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… A Lightning Threat with Thunderstorms Today Through Tonight …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) An unstable air mass continues overhead as a moist and tropical air mass off the gulf moves ashore of the Texas coast in combination with upward lift associated with passing weak disturbances overhead. In addition, a south southwestward moving “back door” cold front is moving into northeast Texas and will settle southwestward as it weakens and washes out. As a result, we continue to see the rain and thunderstorm chances continuing through the balance of the week through the weekend and even into early next week including Labor Day. Periods of heavier rain are possible particularly Saturday through Labor Day.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting an average rainfall of
2.00 to 3.00 inches over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A medium to high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 01 September 2022

TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 92. Calm wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 74. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 92. Calm wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 75. Light easterly wind becoming calm.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 90. Calm wind becoming east northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 8pm. Given a 50% chance of rain before 8pm and a 40% after 9pm at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. Low 74. Light easterly wind becoming calm.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 70% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.50 to 1.00 inch. High 88. Calm wind becoming east northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 74. Light wind.

MONDAY /LABOR DAY/…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 89. Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 74. Light wind.

TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 90. Calm wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 74. Light southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 91. Calm wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 08 September through Wednesday / 14 September 2022
Temperatures… Near Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01 Sep)………………………………………… 7:08 am
Sunset this evening (01 Sep)………………………………………….. 7:53 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 Sep)…………………………………………….. 7:08 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 Sep)……………………………………………… 7:52 pm